TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,540 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7f3…d56cbacked Yes61c571.01$350 inWon+$221.01683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed No40c499.98$200 inLost-$199.9913751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Yes59c337.86$199 inWon+$138.921866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No41c299.98$123 inLost-$122.9943752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes59c254.23$150 inWon+$104.2313759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed No19c231.58$45 inLost-$457835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No41c197.87$81 inLost-$81.1385449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No38c190.13$72 inLost-$71.7133049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No43c79.99$34 inLost-$34.3911852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Yes59c59.07$35 inWon+$24.0714953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No34c41.63$14 inLost-$14.1612642.9%54 W · 72 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Yes60c39.07$23 inWon+$15.6340541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.0966046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No40c30.23$12 inLost-$12.0990863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No41c30$12 inLost-$12.341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394d…f8b1backed Yes59c25.42$15 inWon+$10.421968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+64.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No41c25.42$10 inLost-$10.4219352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes57c25$14 inWon+$10.7552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No43c24.09$10 inLost-$10.3433356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Yes59c20$12 inWon+$8.23066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.