TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6982…a165backed Knicks55c35,827$19,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,061.651471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers46c31,899$14,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,551.0269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks33c14,969$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,968.579725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks64c4,207$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.3852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cavaliers22c3,701$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.7362144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Knicks55c3,222$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.0811864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers68c3,012$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.2464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Cavaliers66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9805945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Knicks32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers47c2,822$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.031,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Cavaliers69c2,228$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.2225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9850346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers48c1,865$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.311,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers43c1,813$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers44c1,687$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.2790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Knicks54c1,655$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.571080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Knicks31c1,528$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.556043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers68c1,512$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.2366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa350…454bbacked Cavaliers68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.991010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-85.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers55c1,424$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.5442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Cavaliers71c1,417$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks57c1,414$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.31,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers57c1,365$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Cavaliers75c1,336$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks41c1,276$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Knicks19c1,263$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.036636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Cavaliers46c1,253$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.6628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Cavaliers40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Cavaliers68c1,224$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.4621450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers38c1,137$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks78c1,130$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.751,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks56c1,105$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.6753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x963f…4487backed Cavaliers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…ffe0backed Knicks30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700977.8%7 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.46per pick32cpaid+156.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Cavaliers70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Knicks42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Knicks65c888.83$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.6916335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Knicks32c854.68$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.185657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers69c725.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers57c709.18$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.241,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks30c680$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47618643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks32c649$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers36c642.95$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Cavaliers68c593.93$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.6618445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Knicks34c591.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5933837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Knicks32c590$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.18348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Cavaliers59c547.92$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks59c435.11$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ed…ed7cbacked Cavaliers68c417.15$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Cavaliers52c409.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2612741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers44c402.09$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.922,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers49c399$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers69c388.56$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.581,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Cavaliers68c367.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks31c359.8$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ab…e495backed Knicks28c349.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.51944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers44c333.04$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Knicks46c305$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.72846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Cavaliers61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.62445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Knicks49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1538155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers39c271$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Knicks42c236.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.445750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Cavaliers69c227.31$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.85520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks62c227.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cavaliers68c220.72$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1718653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Cavaliers76c211.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.955250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Knicks33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13453945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Cavaliers69c199.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9916743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks31c198.35$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8615759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80de…2e87backed Cavaliers63c186.07$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-72.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Cavaliers66c185$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.521,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks62c183.93$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Knicks33c181.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.824035%14 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4835…f22cbacked Knicks58c172.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.761560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…ca73backed Cavaliers70c172.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3921…db37backed Knicks31c165.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.476643.9%29 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks49c165.74$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Cavaliers68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Cavaliers67c144.44$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.367448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Knicks49c138$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.887133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers60c135.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.552,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks44c135$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6417237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Knicks42c132$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6431238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0875…ceacbacked Cavaliers77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Cavaliers62c129.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0718345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Cavaliers40c125.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Knicks31c125.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.342748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80bd…7acdbacked Cavaliers73c123.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Cavaliers50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Cavaliers44c113.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Knicks42c107$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.136334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Knicks32c103.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.135151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Cavaliers48c100.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6910743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Cavaliers48c100.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.698843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Knicks49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7224936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Cavaliers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.515044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Cavaliers42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426126.2%16 W · 45 L-12.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Knicks48c93.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.565459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Cavaliers38c92.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.994738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers48c88.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.