TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks63c14,003$8,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,141.1220155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers38c8,533$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Cavaliers45c7,491$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3703531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks60c7,335$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers37c4,473$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers45c3,288$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.0569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers36c2,894$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks62c2,540$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.0825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks48c2,300$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.7455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers12c2,004$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.692,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Knicks56c1,726$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.245050%25 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks62c1,562$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.2184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Cavaliers46c1,387$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.0217344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers39c1,177$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks63c1,109$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.082,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers25c1,030$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Cavaliers35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Cavaliers40c690$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers39c685.41$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.311,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Knicks65c656$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.620946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Cavaliers40c559.5$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6414551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12a2…c60dbacked Knicks56c526.79$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Knicks60c516.67$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6727549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Cavaliers39c506.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks59c455.91$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks61c448.49$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.121,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Cavaliers34c439$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks67c423.52$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14036051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Knicks60c405$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.455971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Cavaliers35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Knicks59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1644652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks65c385.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Knicks59c384.92$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.827349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers38c355.27$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks60c342$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers39c341.37$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f3…73e6backed Cavaliers6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205016%8 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers36c332.8$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8854…0d9cbacked Knicks61c314.95$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fb…2de9backed Knicks64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks60c302.79$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Cavaliers40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Knicks60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206126.2%16 W · 45 L-12.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Knicks60c299.96$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks64c296.88$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8811258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe7…68f3backed Knicks60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Knicks60c247.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Cavaliers40c246.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7911142.3%47 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Knicks61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.99552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Cavaliers38c235.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Knicks63c229.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.188348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Knicks48c227.06$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0711250%56 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks60c227$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8130551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Cavaliers45c219.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.656038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers16c215$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Cavaliers13c210.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33372.7%1 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Cavaliers8c164$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf713…fdebbacked Cavaliers37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…0752backed Knicks59c159$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Knicks65c153.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3313757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Cavaliers36c153$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers47c148.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.521,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks68c129$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.281,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c9…1798backed Knicks62c122.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.781050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041f…4af7backed Knicks61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.751471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks60c113.63$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.551,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Cavaliers39c112.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.620240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Cavaliers39c107.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Cavaliers37c106.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks65c100.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6615648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Knicks61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3913551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e41…5932backed Cavaliers40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Knicks56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Cavaliers39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Knicks61c92.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.435671.4%40 W · 16 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks60c88.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.291,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Cavaliers40c87.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.034443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Cavaliers39c87.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f0…4209backed Knicks61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks67c78.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks65c78.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3421953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Cavaliers45c75.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks61c71.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7418653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers38c67.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.191,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Cavaliers50c64.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329135.2%32 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Cavaliers37c62.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.535743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ebd…a7e8backed Cavaliers40c61.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks60c56.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Knicks60c54.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks66c54.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Cavaliers35c52.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1822753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers34c50.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1130842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Cavaliers48c50.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0310746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdc…f3adbacked Cavaliers41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67df…5f86backed Knicks61c47.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.541450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks62c47.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.