NBA · resolved market
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5032d65c5616a2dc6803dfa61fa5a6c419b435c3a7cd88ddd45fbf865eaca426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 49c | 2,577$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.88 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 50c | 1,029$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.85 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…2730backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 46c | 531.6$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 51c | 346.05$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…c804backed Yes | 52c | 328.87$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 55c | 275.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 49c | 212.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4f…2510backed Yes | 52c | 191.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 158.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 149.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 48c | 119.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 49c | 113$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 46c | 105.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 48c | 102.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 54c | 93.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…7db5backed No | 50c | 92.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 74.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Yes | 50c | 73.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 48c | 69.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13db…2523backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…b49abacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Yes | 52c | 46.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…457ebacked Yes | 52c | 45.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…4f4bbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c59…727cbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…9e55backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.