TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,244,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,276,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,244,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under51c203,837$103,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,205.6387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under50c182,965$90,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,051.965940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Over49c174,137$85,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,326.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c130,478$65,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,239.041,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Under51c85,000$43,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,6504951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over50c76,803$38,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,401.731560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over50c72,592$36,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,296.0110448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c69,673$34,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,002.2269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293e…4717backed Over51c49,299$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over47c42,965$20,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,082.517650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over50c35,847$17,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,878.9185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,299.9415545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Over50c22,519$11,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,259.658148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c19,233$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,232.8363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under53c18,723$9,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.8956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Over49c15,655$7,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,710.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c15,501$7,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,886.0337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under51c15,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under49c15,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,699.9832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c14,731$7,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,464.755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c14,548$7,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,005.132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c12,428$8,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,906.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c12,245$5,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,989.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over52c11,304$5,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,87819359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over49c10,122$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9717249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c10,107$5,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,023.320155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20015952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c9,737$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,838.7365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c9,723$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,722.8690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under76c8,774$6,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.231,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…902cbacked Under50c8,442$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over50c8,200$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10010949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under68c8,187$5,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.672,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b91…83babacked Under50c8,158$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaced…4132backed Under50c8,086$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,043250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a38…7bc7backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c7,944$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,210.336045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over51c7,698$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9003729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Over37c6,403$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.036636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under50c6,097$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,068.5865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c6,019$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.661,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over48c5,701$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.693951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under49c5,500$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.6743438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0325…01bcbacked Over59c4,817$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.972661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under49c3,867$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.355655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c3,796$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8602,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over51c3,266$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.7229243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over54c3,131$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70017147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over50c3,021$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c2,970$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under51c2,955$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.981764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,940$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under49c2,914$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.3686641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c2,700$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.321,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2508451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c2,463$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Over49c2,351$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1523256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over25c2,236$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…ee86backed Over49c2,046$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Over52c1,999$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.462744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over51c1,971$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over55c1,890$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.4422349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c1,825$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a7…efa3backed Over49c1,794$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over44c1,733$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.956544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under53c1,564$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.2248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Over55c1,467$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…84b6backed Under51c1,448$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over48c1,421$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.7693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under66c1,400$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.1636243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over49c1,382$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed Over51c1,284$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c1,273$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.7152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over50c1,239$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1323742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c1,208$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.6932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over51c1,188$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a5bfbacked Under49c1,177$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over46c1,166$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.912540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under50c1,157$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.5144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under50c1,123$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.6660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,089$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.4321247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x769e…44c4backed Over51c1,039$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b0e…0517backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.