TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09f4…dac0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
472
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Asian League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 58 out of 100; worst WNBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT16946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$899.08
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.89
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$727.26
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$643.67
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,217.99
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$444.58
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$557
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,104.83
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$495
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$582.4
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,311.44
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,021.44
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,231.5
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,245.96
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.72
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,040
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$262.63
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104%+$494.99
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,203.5
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.29
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$293.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$1,437.16
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$12.38
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,009.91
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,388.43
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,557.46
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.68
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,849.68
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250.37
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,405
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,899.97
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,794Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,805.98
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,900
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,699.77
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.32
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,830.5
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.8
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.29
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,456.47
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$4,937.77
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,699.98
Spread: England (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$9,999.35
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.26
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,099.83
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$601.31
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
WNBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$827.96
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.24
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$251.5
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$298.39
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$34
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$832
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.34
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$425.98
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.7
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$79.39
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.41
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.1
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.5
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.9
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.04
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$221.93
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.04
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.52
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.32
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.88
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,884Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,960.95
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$234.79
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$759.78
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,816.35
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.55
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035.18
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,323Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$4,348.76
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.65
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.6
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.31
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,947.12
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$307.4
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,164
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.28
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$592.94
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,608.22
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.81
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$603.29
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.5
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.77
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.2
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.6
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.89
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.91
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$259.95
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$791.32
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.4
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$624.26
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.76
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,061
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$495.6
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.02
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$367.71
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.88
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$709.56
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.78
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.47
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,772.17
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$593.77
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,410.42
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$124.83
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$295.8
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.19
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,471.2
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$258.72
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.3
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,411.37
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.78
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$447
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.82
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+134.8%+$790.65
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$580.45
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.97
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$494.3
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.92
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$731.59
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.04
Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.75
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$628.11
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,763.2
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$2,688.6
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$258.42
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,524.05
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$588.65
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$905.16
US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.03
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$265
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.45
Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.5
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.25
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$610.49
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.02
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,697Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$2,900.84
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.14
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$1,226.52
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$362.95
Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$247.1
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.98
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$122.84
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$257.99
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.95
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$127.28
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.4
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,227.24
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$608.4
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$617.24
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$551.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.84
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$463.26
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,312.19
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$672.35
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.96
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.56
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.5
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,537.27
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$590.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.99
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$786.24
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.79
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$878.49
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$576.5
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Olympique Lyonnais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,774.97
FC Metz vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,126.96
Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$1,216.51
FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.