Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7b4de870cad2c071a49e6a67f836ed748d22b055c2ed5631036faf7af4f6bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,454$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 58c | 1,314$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.82 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Over | 44c | 1,280$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fcfabacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 603.12$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 536.7$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.18 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 425.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 44c | 403.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 313.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 57c | 287.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…e882backed Over | 56c | 274.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 58c | 173.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 42c | 149.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7834…5963backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 58c | 134.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1891…fd78backed Over | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 57c | 108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Over | 41c | 91.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 43c | 89.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 44c | 88.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 20c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 51c | 70.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 42c | 68.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 67.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 53c | 56.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 36c | 50.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 37.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Over | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…236ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Over | 58c | 26.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 75c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.