TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26f2…1761

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
403
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT13850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.98
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.5
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.98
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.3
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$70.94
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.3
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$97.5
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$82
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.63
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.83
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.7
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.35
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.98
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.5
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT9950.5%50 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.2
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$41.49
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$62.7
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$118.98
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$124
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT7857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$314.99
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$164.5
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$50.1
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$30.01
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$79.35
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.15
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.99
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$29.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+42.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$55.16
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$86.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$89.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.75
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Degerfors IF vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
AIK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Malmo FF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick61cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$41.04
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.47
New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Orlando City SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$9.05
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.86
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$107.53
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$231.1
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$72.59
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.