NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70f463b6da8887d57f265a41a8c2481c1136caed6540d07840a9422257482c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,599.9 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 46c | 23,178$10,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,447.79 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 46c | 19,570$9,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,541.05 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 15,246$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,927.92 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 8,453$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.48 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 6,942$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 47c | 5,021$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.95 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 4,027$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.73 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 52c | 3,257$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.74 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 3,254$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.69 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 53c | 3,018$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.43 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked Over | 47c | 2,952$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 47c | 2,877$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.13 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 2,631$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 2,578$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.41 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 41c | 2,331$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.5 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…ca86backed Under | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…2492backed Over | 42c | 2,063$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 49c | 1,933$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.33 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 46c | 1,889$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.28 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 39c | 1,773$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.86 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,738$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.02 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 78c | 1,613$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 46c | 1,305$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 55c | 1,149$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.77 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Over | 47c | 1,147$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.81 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 1,030$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.01 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 32c | 1,000$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.18 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Under | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 974.38$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.7 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 937.69$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 45c | 893.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.67 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 859.39$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.94 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 53c | 856.28$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.3 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 799.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 695.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.53 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 674.65$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.57 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Under | 55c | 573.55$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.76 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 511.77$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.11 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…95c3backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 44c | 493.69$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.45 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 490$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Over | 42c | 476.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Under | 49c | 419.97$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 74c | 405.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Over | 23c | 399.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Over | 47c | 390$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 46c | 323.61$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 323.61$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 297.75$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 54c | 290$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…9a2abacked Under | 31c | 270$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 62c | 270$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Under | 55c | 239.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Under | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 47c | 223$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…57d7backed Under | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 42c | 199.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 14c | 196.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 8c | 194.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 10c | 188$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 180.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 54c | 179.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over | 61c | 176.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…307abacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Under | 35c | 168$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Over | 14c | 166$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 150.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 51c | 143.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…04ccbacked Under | 59c | 138.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 35c | 138.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 14c | 133$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…bec3backed Under | 51c | 128.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 42c | 123.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Over | 14c | 122$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 26c | 118.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 54c | 114.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…449abacked Over | 24c | 109.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…2451backed Over | 39c | 102.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 99.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 38c | 95.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Lakers won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.