NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0990a3abeff4e941b2d4f34443dc6cd5c69b2cd970604405c27042448c3e52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 85,205$40,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,410.31 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Over | 53c | 55,000$29,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,850 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 21,470$11,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,114.27 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 13,020$6,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,142.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 12,927$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.76 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Over | 51c | 11,403$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,583.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.5 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 51c | 9,873$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.63 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 8,854$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120.83 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 7,905$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 49c | 7,606$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Over | 52c | 6,572$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.27 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 51c | 5,976$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.1 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…ede2backed Over | 47c | 5,318$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Over | 33c | 5,306$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.35 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 28c | 5,024$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.29 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 47c | 4,870$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Over | 34c | 4,023$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 15c | 3,955$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.59 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 39c | 3,375$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.39 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 3,013$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.74 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 72c | 2,792$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,476$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 69c | 2,464$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.77 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 2,085$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 53c | 2,032$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.52 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…487dbacked Under | 49c | 2,004$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 1,992$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.38 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 51c | 1,968$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.24 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 23c | 1,785$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.21 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 52c | 1,646$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.25 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 59c | 1,579$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.22 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 40c | 1,473$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.5 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 1,463$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked Over | 53c | 1,460$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 69c | 1,335$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.69 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 1,317$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.38 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,300$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.65 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Over | 52c | 1,293$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.77 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…0c38backed Over | 66c | 1,288$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 48c | 1,263$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.95 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 54c | 1,226$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.02 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 49c | 1,189$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.21 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 1,080$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.63 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 1,013$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.46 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.77 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 2c | 881.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 54c | 826.15$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.15 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…56cebacked Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 46c | 806$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.8 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 725$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 715.65$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.51 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…4cb2backed Over | 52c | 653.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 48c | 650$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 39c | 646.53$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.07 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 57c | 631$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.37 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 53c | 628.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 48c | 625.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.05 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 53c | 614.87$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.99 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 39c | 606.66$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.49 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Under | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 585.04$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 567.9$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.79 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 18c | 556.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.11 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Over | 53c | 554.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.79 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…b202backed Under | 46c | 550$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…dcf6backed Under | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 47c | 544.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 508.85$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.31 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…e3b8backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 489.93$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…4020backed Over | 40c | 488.87$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Over | 53c | 482.15$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 46c | 470.2$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…4362backed Over | 53c | 469.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 53c | 445$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.27 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 443.19$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 39c | 439$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.3 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 28c | 430$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…3a70backed Over | 53c | 430$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 39c | 423.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.97 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 47c | 409.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 409.1$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Lakers won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.