TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x843c…126c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 4: Liam Draxl vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$209.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$479.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$505.78
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$375.07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$146.96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$126.46
Wuxi: Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$170.35
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.16
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.66
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.66
Pune: Felix Gill vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,675.16
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Filsbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$967.22
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$5,977.74
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,285.94
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+43.8%+$866.53
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,735Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$1,751.22
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.96
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$686.34
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$326.44
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.13
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$209.24
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,206.63
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,074.88
Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,360.19
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,950.77
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.7%+$1,552.92
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+91.4%+$1,233.01
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.6%+$1,528.69
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$1,862.28
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,341.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$300.62
Counter-Strike: Omega vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.89
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$77.54
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Bbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148.03
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$498.8
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.6%+$242.02
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+105.2%+$698.3
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,869Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+27.8%+$519.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$5,049.35
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$936.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.25
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,122.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+115.5%+$898.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$95.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$314.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,333.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Tōkyō vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,611.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.