TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AaB Esportof AaB Esport, Basement Bobs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked AaB Esport69c3,906$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.065,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked AaB Esport55c2,600$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.9775056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Basement Bobs31c1,800$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Basement Bobs46c1,580$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73065546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked AaB Esport56c1,439$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.436253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Basement Bobs39c1,219$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.4849646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed AaB Esport66c1,029$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.545050%25 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed AaB Esport59c962.66$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.246,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed AaB Esport65c944.71$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed AaB Esport66c878.23$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6939248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Basement Bobs48c801.8$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5635848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked AaB Esport48c739.89$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.382,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Basement Bobs47c636.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8133448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed AaB Esport69c612.16$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.075352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basement Bobs32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Basement Bobs32c599.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19224429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Basement Bobs16c569.76$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.168951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Basement Bobs32c555.54$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.775,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Basement Bobs39c538.88$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4427443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Basement Bobs36c515.41$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9848948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed AaB Esport59c512.42$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.884,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Basement Bobs39c464.54$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1563038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Basement Bobs37c451.78$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1691743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Basement Bobs44c450.02$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7552951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Basement Bobs29c422.21$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.821,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Basement Bobs27c417.81$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9215732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked AaB Esport75c403$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.352,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked AaB Esport63c400.09$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.03875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked AaB Esport74c399.46$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1625753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Basement Bobs35c391.93$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4610426%27 W · 77 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Basement Bobs32c336.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.875,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Basement Bobs44c320.02$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.022,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Basement Bobs21c297.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.142,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked Basement Bobs37c296.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.654721.3%10 W · 37 L-8.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Basement Bobs40c288.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.115,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed AaB Esport53c267.65$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8764854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed AaB Esport52c263.83$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6428660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed AaB Esport69c237.91$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0619850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Basement Bobs38c230.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6df…1cf4backed Basement Bobs32c222.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.297041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Basement Bobs43c222.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6171951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed Basement Bobs42c217.17$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2115133.1%50 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Basement Bobs52c210.58$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7530254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Basement Bobs46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7636151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Basement Bobs29c200.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.217758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed Basement Bobs43c195.15$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.489351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Basement Bobs42c190.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1114641.1%60 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed Basement Bobs53c186.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.478545.9%39 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked AaB Esport73c178.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2117849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Basement Bobs45c165.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4617055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Basement Bobs31c163.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9146843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff6…394ebacked Basement Bobs42c160.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.561540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked AaB Esport63c155.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2212746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Basement Bobs33c154.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.151,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Basement Bobs32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4854032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Basement Bobs34c148.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2591648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Basement Bobs30c148$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.469732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Basement Bobs44c141.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.562,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Basement Bobs32c131.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4428046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Basement Bobs30c127.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.692,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed AaB Esport51c114.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1914853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Basement Bobs21c108.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7764439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Basement Bobs28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.797230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Basement Bobs28c102.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.732138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed AaB Esport67c101.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.741,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked AaB Esport70c101.13$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3466446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Basement Bobs30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed AaB Esport77c99.31$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8424457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked AaB Esport51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5695642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8e…ca2ebacked AaB Esport72c95.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.612272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…108dbacked AaB Esport54c93.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.962737%10 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Basement Bobs47c91.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Basement Bobs33c90.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010736.4%39 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Basement Bobs18c90$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.37321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Basement Bobs45c85.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.681,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Basement Bobs34c84.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.816933.3%23 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked AaB Esport71c83.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.140652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Basement Bobs46c81.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.967,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed AaB Esport71c80.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.428535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Basement Bobs36c78.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.219050%95 W · 95 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed AaB Esport54c77.79$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7832951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Basement Bobs53c76.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4179951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Basement Bobs21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.736334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6dd…c6b6backed Basement Bobs31c68.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.566634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Basement Bobs53c68.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2173948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Basement Bobs43c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.976654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Basement Bobs44c65.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2921460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Basement Bobs33c64.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2176248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Basement Bobs27c63.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1345224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed Basement Bobs40c61.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2927848.6%135 W · 143 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Basement Bobs24c59.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25223.1%12 W · 40 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed AaB Esport78c59.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3216350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked AaB Esport55c58.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2723249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…36febacked Basement Bobs52c54.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b4…748abacked Basement Bobs41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54231%13 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e0…cf2dbacked AaB Esport50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.254852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdffe…b4d3backed Basement Bobs34c45.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3714630.8%45 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Basement Bobs30c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.358648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Basement Bobs38c43.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed AaB Esport57c41.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9512368.3%84 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.