TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaff…5f75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
242
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT7047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$5.88
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$7.97
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$5.77
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$13.21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$9.73
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+116%+$35.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+197%+$30.17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.65
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$36.85
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$16.91
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5223.1%12 W · 40 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
CS2 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-MINLATE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO5) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.14
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+74%+$21.23
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs paiN Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$11.66
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.2
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.51
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.41
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.82
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$28.18
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$59.86
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.91
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$27.88
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$129.33
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.64
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.68
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$194.67
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$111.87
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.44
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$31.48
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.03
Spread: Clippers (-15.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$84.69
Spread: Clippers (-16.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$93.39
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-53.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.98
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.35
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.81
Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked KukuysV3 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$14.74
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 Winnerbacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$13.95
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.61
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+153.9%+$124.92
Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$19.24
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$105.76
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$80.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.