TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof 3DMAX, FOKUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x336b…1233backed 3DMAX59c10,024$5,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,147.2312653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed 3DMAX73c6,358$4,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.8424346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FOKUS37c5,354$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.891,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS31c4,924$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.062,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FOKUS36c4,043$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.123,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS34c3,940$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.834,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed 3DMAX61c3,497$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.666243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked 3DMAX61c3,304$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.745357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed 3DMAX60c2,969$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.6445859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FOKUS31c2,415$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.51,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FOKUS31c2,318$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.292,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked FOKUS31c2,266$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.4961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4925…a69abacked FOKUS34c1,977$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.5410331.1%32 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 3DMAX59c1,951$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.8346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX61c1,477$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.65,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FOKUS34c1,318$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.3589546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX71c1,018$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.025,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 3DMAX64c804.89$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.787847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked FOKUS38c776.75$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.849058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed FOKUS31c725.82$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.443828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FOKUS13c709.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.341,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX75c702.87$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.093,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed 3DMAX59c662$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8612452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked FOKUS41c655.48$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.251850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FOKUS45c644.88$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.175545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed FOKUS38c621.2$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.26854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FOKUS28c608.41$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.395,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed FOKUS36c599.79$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9332042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed 3DMAX59c576.02$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5711166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed FOKUS38c563.73$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1611546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed FOKUS38c525.92$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.667757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed 3DMAX60c525.87$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5139248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked FOKUS10c483.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.711,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed FOKUS42c466.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-73.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked FOKUS42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.047857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX58c447.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9298352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked 3DMAX65c441.73$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9840070.8%283 W · 117 L+39.1wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FOKUS33c418.27$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.771,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FOKUS39c399.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15653945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked FOKUS41c379.15$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.181,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FOKUS39c357.36$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.612,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 3DMAX68c351.22$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.612,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX65c310.07$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.521,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed FOKUS40c307.26$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.931471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS31c303.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.476,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked FOKUS40c301.54$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.155658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked FOKUS40c301.54$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.153946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked FOKUS40c301.54$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.155064%32 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed 3DMAX55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13523851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked FOKUS14c299.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed 3DMAX74c299.25$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8958961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ab…8c2ebacked FOKUS16c297.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.531540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f89…e85bbacked 3DMAX59c297.59$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.041080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked FOKUS39c263.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.567545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed FOKUS40c240.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.448350.6%42 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed FOKUS42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.527653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked FOKUS42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.523847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed FOKUS40c214.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.574555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS27c202.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.284,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked FOKUS36c201.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1420549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ac…ebeebacked FOKUS41c200.4$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked FOKUS40c181.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.811963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed FOKUS25c179.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8922734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed 3DMAX62c174.77$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7425634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked FOKUS41c170.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.133661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked 3DMAX59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7842149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed FOKUS40c149.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.531060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed FOKUS40c144.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8415632.7%51 W · 105 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FOKUS26c139.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.622,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed FOKUS37c128.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0229350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed 3DMAX69c126.22$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7725042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FOKUS26c115.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.562,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed FOKUS42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.267136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed FOKUS20c109$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.829831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed FOKUS42c102.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.446160.7%37 W · 24 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed 3DMAX58c100.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3516553.3%88 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed 3DMAX55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked 3DMAX72c99.45$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4126037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed 3DMAX59c96.27$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.715358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked FOKUS30c95.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2431328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked FOKUS12c94.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.378633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 3DMAX75c94.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.932,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX71c84.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.527,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 3DMAX58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.291,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed 3DMAX66c82.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.632951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed 3DMAX61c79.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2368172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd1a8…259fbacked FOKUS41c74.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.361353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS37c62.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.992,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked 3DMAX62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.860147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed FOKUS40c57.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.945156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FOKUS38c57.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.771,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 3DMAX55c57.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.672,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed FOKUS35c55.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.224740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…955bbacked FOKUS42c51.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0655…51dcbacked FOKUS41c51.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.071675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed 3DMAX64c51.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5649376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed FOKUS40c48.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5210642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c82…9728backed 3DMAX46c48.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2821848.6%106 W · 112 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed 3DMAX59c47.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6649226%128 W · 364 L-45.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.