CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6406a79d59231b8841b9322d52c0a5f238726d9ec212df47ead5310afe2fbb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8310…8967backed Over | 57c | 5,042$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.99 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 40c | 2,231$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.73 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 2,189$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.39 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 42c | 1,018$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 37c | 977.11$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.42 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 57c | 560.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.59 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 32c | 406.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 36c | 288.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 160.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 52c | 160.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 160.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 52c | 160.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 160.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 53c | 157.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 157.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 53c | 157.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 43c | 154.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 43c | 125.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 68c | 124.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 103.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 31c | 91.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 65c | 78.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Under | 43c | 76.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 52c | 64.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 52c | 64.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…14a5backed Over | 73c | 60.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Under | 43c | 57.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 33c | 45.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 40.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 43c | 40.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 43c | 39.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 55c | 37.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 47c | 35.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Under | 46c | 33.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 45c | 29.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…8b4abacked Under | 45c | 27.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 57c | 25.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 62c | 22.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 46c | 22.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…f490backed Over | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.