TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07ac…ebee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$29.25
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Southampton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$36.34
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.92
Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.69
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.03
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.92
Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.62
Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.66
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$142.9
Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.64
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.69
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$117.64
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+78.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$4.19
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.16
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$51.15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.02
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.41
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+142.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+427.3%+$61.69
Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$43.87
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$58.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.19
São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$83.55
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.56
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$47.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.