Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafd42e481eee1c96c028f9fb596fd7262da333bc7d250774886c52861c29d047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 31c | 1,275$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.67 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 66c | 1,033$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 615.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 559.01$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 520.81$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 66c | 301.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 66c | 193.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 110.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 69c | 102.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 24c | 88.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 68c | 86.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…041cbacked Yes | 14c | 81.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 44c | 80.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed No | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 48.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 77c | 44.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 77c | 44.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 75c | 38.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 38.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 76c | 35.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 34.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked No | 69c | 31.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 66c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 67c | 23.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 71c | 22.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 71c | 22.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 77c | 21.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 77c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 78c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Port Vale FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.