Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe10c673e611fb7180bfd191f8d61120ece0ff61328174ea306a0a3edf1717f75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chelsea FCof Chelsea FC, Port Vale FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 1,912$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.46 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Port Vale FC | 32c | 1,100$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Port Vale FC | 35c | 906.13$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chelsea FC | 57c | 871.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.9 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 738.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Chelsea FC | 66c | 712.2$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Port Vale FC | 35c | 612.14$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Port Vale FC | 37c | 610.19$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.95 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC | 73c | 562.17$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Port Vale FC | 34c | 537.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Chelsea FC | 60c | 425.74$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Port Vale FC | 34c | 356.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Port Vale FC | 33c | 341.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Port Vale FC | 29c | 274.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Chelsea FC | 60c | 249.39$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chelsea FC | 63c | 249.28$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Port Vale FC | 41c | 234.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Port Vale FC | 15c | 215.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Port Vale FC | 34c | 200.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Chelsea FC | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Port Vale FC | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Chelsea FC | 66c | 190$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Port Vale FC | 42c | 182.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Port Vale FC | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Port Vale FC | 43c | 145.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Chelsea FC | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Port Vale FC | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Chelsea FC | 68c | 75.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Port Vale FC | 33c | 69.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 58.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Port Vale FC | 34c | 56.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Port Vale FC | 40c | 50.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Chelsea FC | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Port Vale FC | 34c | 44.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Chelsea FC | 78c | 44.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Chelsea FC | 79c | 39.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Chelsea FC | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chelsea FC | 78c | 25.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Chelsea FC | 66c | 24.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…6c32backed Chelsea FC | 66c | 20.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Chelsea FC | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Chelsea FC | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Chelsea FC | 54c | 19.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Chelsea FC | 74c | 18.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Chelsea FC | 71c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Chelsea FC | 71c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Chelsea FC | 71c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Chelsea FC | 71c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Chelsea FC | 69c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Chelsea FC | 68c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 14.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Port Vale FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.