TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c0a…cbc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
245
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Asian League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kanebacked Kane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.16
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.36
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$772.07
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$281.21
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$1,049.02
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.96
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.28
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.59
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$113.08
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$279.34
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.26
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$469.74
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$140.51
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$496.05
Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.41
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$404.73
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$390.99
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.93
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$972
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,903.19
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT6142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+267.8%+$790.59
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.9
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.42
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.39
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.65
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$144.58
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$508.56
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,083Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$770.24
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$553.85
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$413.67
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+562%+$297.85
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$155.96
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.17
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$534.08
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.75
Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.12
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$353.66
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.36
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Xinyu Gao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.14
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-2.5) vs Comesana (+2.5)backed Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.79
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.56
Cervia: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Carbonibacked Lorenzo Carboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.32
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$121.15
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$219.46
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.98
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.78
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Leheckabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$91.07
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$106.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemundbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$293.75
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martina Trevisan vs Talia Gibsonbacked Martina Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$150.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$83.27
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.37
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$72.34
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$55.26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.86
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.77
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$432.62
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$133.98
Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$226.25
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.07
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$130.05
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.96
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$42.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+30%+$292.38
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$182.84
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)backed RC Deportivo La Coruña · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.68
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.38
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$127.81
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.44
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+223.5%+$117.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.82
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,128.57
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.07
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$332.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.98
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$135.69
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200.92
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$138.57
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-47.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AIK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$571
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.97
Will FC København win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.67
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.49
SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$381.28
FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.73
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$123.39
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.49
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$232.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+82.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+136.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+405.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$1,979.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+526.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+526.3%+$669.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.9%+$363.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.