Music · resolved market

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947dd80143339be3a01453de9c1e40bae72688c56622796521805823eb35cb03

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $194,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $186,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,243 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Music
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes	34c	20,186$6,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,888.54	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes	31c	10,344$3,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,230.35	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes	33c	6,542$2,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160.73	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes	50c	5,386$2,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,691.72	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No	73c	5,147$3,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,376.69	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+3.7wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+128.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes	32c	4,394$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.21	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed No	69c	4,253$2,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.62	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed Yes	63c	4,043$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,538.79	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No	39c	4,000$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,419.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	26cpaid	+165.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes	36c	3,858$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370.46	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked No	43c	3,527$1,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,021.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	59c	3,372$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,396.24	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked No	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked No	66c	2,734$1,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.56	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No	48c	2,700$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,417.19	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	34c	2,531$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.62	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3396…458dbacked Yes	54c	2,301$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.11	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf84f…5c5cbacked Yes	48c	2,279$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes	31c	2,194$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.14	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes	60c	2,183$1,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,307.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+405.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	49c	2,138$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,084.43	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	48c	2,103$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.98	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f80…2804backed Yes	35c	2,060$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.94	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	49c	2,000$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.39	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed No	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.43	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	31c	1,932$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.14	229	27.9%64 W · 165 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked No	72c	1,733$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.14	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+27%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…e00cbacked Yes	34c	1,728$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.64	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Yes	58c	1,724$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	66c	1,559$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.09	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No	59c	1,554$909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.9	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked Yes	33c	1,464$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	16c	1,378$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.29	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x263c…87a0backed No	70c	1,371$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55b…857bbacked Yes	33c	1,274$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.42	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac7…dc0bbacked No	69c	1,272$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7000…6d98backed Yes	31c	1,245$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No	42c	1,243$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.01	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	43c	1,126$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.11	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2eb…5751backed Yes	13c	1,094$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.22	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes	59c	1,088$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.56	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+33%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…0d60backed Yes	27c	1,083$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.41	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes	29c	1,071$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.59	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	31c	1,059$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.57	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+231.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked Yes	27c	1,059$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	54c	1,043$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.33	105	29.5%31 W · 74 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	24c	1,042$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.6	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-6.4wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked No	40c	1,020$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+110.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes	52c	1,009$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.46	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x621f…7293backed Yes	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fa5…2380backed No	69c	995$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes	69c	994.59$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.74	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	68cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	40c	944.42$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.36	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa4…94bcbacked Yes	31c	942.39$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.01	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	28cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	71c	941.38$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.13	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	48c	941$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.73	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cb…933ebacked No	67c	928$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.24	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+100%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x465c…6e53backed No	67c	918$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.94	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	69cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	72c	891.41$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.99	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5571…0346backed Yes	30c	883.31$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.89	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	45cpaid	+65.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	29c	873.94$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.44	148	35.8%53 W · 95 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No	62c	872.78$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.03	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	59c	841$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.56	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No	43c	839.39$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.26	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed Yes	33c	816$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	33c	800.98$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.53	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc771…e858backed No	69c	784$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.04	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+30%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591c…390dbacked Yes	31c	760$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	57c	752.07$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.6	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0285…59d6backed No	69c	737$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.47	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No	73c	736$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.72	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.9wins	+0.23per pick	42cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2691…232fbacked Yes	49c	718.99$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.62	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed No	73c	715$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes	26c	700$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f07…2036backed Yes	30c	692.81$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.57	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+111.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb25…5b6bbacked No	73c	677.3$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	64c	674.23$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.05	163	34.4%56 W · 107 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd134…5558backed No	67c	670$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.1	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed Yes	31c	639$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.09	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No	66c	616.63$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.65	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes	26c	611.16$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.03	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed No	67c	604$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.32	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	41c	599.84$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.79	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+75%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Yes	67c	597.91$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+61%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed Yes	31c	583$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.73	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No	65c	581.96$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.69	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	70c	580.02$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.25	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+31%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes	35c	573.4$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.68	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+134.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked No	51c	569.22$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.71	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb0…0d4cbacked Yes	31c	557$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.67	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed No	36c	554.01$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+177%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	59c	543$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.68	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1697…4cf6backed No	71c	541$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x846d…4ab2backed Yes	27c	536$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68ba…0e6abacked No	73c	536$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.72	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	67cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb862…5aaebacked No	71c	530$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.7	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes	30c	510.5$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.66	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes	50c	507$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.5	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed No	35c	501.47$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.3	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event