TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e6a…fdc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Music at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3013.3%4 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick25cpaid+21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.17
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.04
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.84
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.22
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,614.56
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.01
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.93
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.03
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.84
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$692
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$88.49
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.95
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.23
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+2,579%+$14,894.93
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.43
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,370.46
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,106.04
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+579.1%+$1,707.08
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$116.9
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.41
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$86.56
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.27
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$62.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.