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Tennis · resolved market

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,784,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,978,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,784,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Yes79c165,329$130,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,904.951250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes38c86,236$33,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,186.8410444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes69c74,610$51,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,199.166,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9eb…bdc3backed No22c66,555$14,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,591.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No23c59,531$13,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,880.4840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No56c59,206$33,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,156.5816242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5d…ff7ebacked Yes34c49,612$16,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,744.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No25c45,056$11,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,204.7413843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No50c40,369$20,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,207.32927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+182.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes35c38,889$13,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,443.646972.5%50 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Yes7c26,086$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,238.524841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No61c25,594$15,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,502.869242.4%39 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Yes44c24,929$10,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,079.642236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No36c24,924$9,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,000.841250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No41c24,488$10,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,125.074434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes59c24,365$14,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,934.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-78.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No61c24,329$14,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,734.314944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes6c23,051$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,670.3822723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No65c22,892$14,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,987.635219.2%10 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No48c21,986$10,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,512.492321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes8c20,887$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,257.064816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes50c20,729$10,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,429.468046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes65c20,212$13,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,986.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No78c19,479$15,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,214.462050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes47c18,980$8,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,089.05287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Yes48c18,360$8,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,596.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes5c18,349$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,348.131233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes7c17,820$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,653.5952750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes36c17,508$6,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,213.2894555.7%526 W · 419 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No64c16,000$10,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,297.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes62c15,062$9,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.563345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes78c15,001$11,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.142540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b4…fc3dbacked Yes79c14,993$11,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes29c14,804$4,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,461.251163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes34c14,635$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,635.1214053.6%75 W · 65 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed Yes41c14,245$5,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,402.398854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No66c13,982$9,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,219.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+237.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a35…0d46backed Yes60c13,895$8,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,619.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes77c13,881$10,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.969962.6%62 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No52c13,629$7,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,028.3724529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No65c13,577$8,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,820.765822.4%13 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes17c13,068$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,836.9527944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes78c12,750$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.4865952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eca…b133backed No66c12,500$8,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,285.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes5c11,983$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,366.92267.7%2 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes7c11,048$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,284.98248.3%2 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes42c11,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,359.9964955.2%358 W · 291 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes58c10,608$6,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.1575748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Yes31c10,566$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,287.492356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Yes8c10,100$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,332.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+557.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No39c10,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85015933.3%53 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Yes34c10,000$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6dd…50acbacked Yes61c9,393$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,662.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes41c9,195$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,459.795623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes52c9,112$4,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,367.44658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Yes34c8,842$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,841.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes43c8,632$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,926.0645737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes41c8,530$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.3928451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…4dc6backed Yes62c8,384$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f79…a20dbacked Yes38c8,172$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,093.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes46c8,003$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.1495368.2%650 W · 303 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed No62c8,000$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9921546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No51c7,816$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.471,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes65c7,777$5,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.784,99238.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L-19.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked No65c7,517$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.3112033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes7c7,267$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,761.551330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No21c7,056$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.023647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes17c6,838$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,655.011414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Yes9c6,759$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.4133442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes6c6,469$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.8512322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34c6…2735backed Yes41c6,451$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,797.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes60c6,441$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.8524759.9%148 W · 99 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes8c6,317$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,816.773333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes5c6,223$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,909.310443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes37c6,209$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.421,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No44c6,177$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.883441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes33c6,110$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.39147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-78.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Yes41c6,068$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes77c6,002$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.611353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed Yes75c6,000$4,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5182218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-73.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9531…9099backed Yes68c5,998$4,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Yes44c5,803$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.465160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No70c5,723$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.911471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes78c5,511$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.1423152.4%121 W · 110 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed No23c5,350$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.2127446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes7c5,308$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,933.645036%18 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes68c5,257$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.328231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Yes4c5,098$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,881.9137540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Yes5c5,086$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.618239%32 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c5,083$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,862.292,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes4c5,035$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,831.1817746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes62c5,031$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.869941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No56c5,000$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.3114540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Yes33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.11040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Yes35c5,000$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,255.073537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed No22c5,000$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0852437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes60c4,940$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.230847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Yes10c4,919$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.557638.2%29 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899f…f8a2backed No49c4,866$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.