TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$587,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb046…857cbacked Yes0c62,591$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.222119%4 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+92%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes2c51,223$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.171163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa1…8ba9backed Yes0c37,894$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f3…bf55backed Yes23c30,755$6,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,990.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes1c21,525$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4543.7%2 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c16,211$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.87287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Yes21c14,305$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c13,641$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.092550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d1…64a7backed No80c12,513$9,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e2…30acbacked Yes0c11,501$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c11,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c9,919$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9622723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes1c8,310$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030053.7%161 W · 139 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5203…d25cbacked Yes22c8,197$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da2…c327backed Yes0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes23c6,195$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.023647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes22c5,780$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.6552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No80c5,572$4,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.52326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Yes50c4,481$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.7790%0 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes39c3,748$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.671931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89f…9475backed Yes27c2,826$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Yes36c2,794$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Yes19c2,646$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6733442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b36…9f34backed Yes1c2,579$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.413151.1%67 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Yes44c2,410$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.57837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c2,355$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.872,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes9c2,341$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0520554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d34…15a1backed Yes31c2,287$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-62.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes18c2,020$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.87751.9%40 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Yes41c2,000$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.9111852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Yes28c2,000$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56526833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes19c1,995$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes28c1,900$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5303821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ad…e1ccbacked Yes20c1,723$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…4335backed Yes37c1,497$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63b…b8cfbacked No70c1,491$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.866845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No56c1,432$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.792770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6919…cc07backed Yes2c1,257$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes24c1,237$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.92050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Yes7c1,140$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.72626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes6c1,134$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.719411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes40c1,100$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44446556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Yes43c1,055$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes32c1,007$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.638226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ada…36cfbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87b…8d24backed Yes35c1,000$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No71c950$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a9…2d29backed No78c900$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef0…d5b0backed No78c900$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed8…3705backed No78c899.99$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes21c868.38$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1611927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes34c860$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.42142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d7…4c49backed No78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…ea37backed Yes40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Yes33c799.97$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.391968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38f…ee37backed Yes20c769.61$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.47425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+320.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No78c714.35$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.167241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79a3…2e6ebacked No78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa2…956abacked No58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab8…ae32backed Yes33c577.78$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No73c560$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.323324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c555.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7444423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083a…eabdbacked No58c550$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf82e…5b63backed Yes22c544.16$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.72875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…f691backed No59c507.14$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2061533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8461…05fcbacked Yes20c500.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-70.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No79c500$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10742141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d23…5740backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes23c491.46$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.04287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71af…8f2dbacked No58c490$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No57c484.75$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes19c483.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.41828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d2…fb27backed Yes25c474.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa1…53f6backed Yes21c472.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No78c461.29$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.262941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked No76c457$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…96a8backed Yes23c435.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd31…2fcabacked Yes38c432.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7624…679cbacked Yes21c422.62$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd511…e95ebacked Yes20c417.05$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-64.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes38c401.88$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f96…ad0fbacked Yes37c400$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6067…08eabacked Yes21c375.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcb…2e90backed Yes22c334.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes24c305.9$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…d3e7backed Yes31c300.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5495742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bf…0becbacked Yes36c297.31$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Yes22c287.24$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6431220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No56c286.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.491963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c4…dd99backed Yes29c271.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes40c270.27$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1113934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a6…7102backed No58c270$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No78c264$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.691553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51d…c191backed Yes41c263.83$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+330.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4976…d25cbacked Yes26c262.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.17540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+415%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.