TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e4c…c962

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,635Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$974.7
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$530.4
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$510
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$303
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,074.7
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.19
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.84
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$292.9
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.87
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520.61
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.9
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$111
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.7
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.68
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.17
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330.72
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$494.9
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$1,055.19
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$928.28
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$293.99
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,789.44
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$897
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Spread: 76ers (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$92.96
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100.86
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$20.24
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$51.1
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$15.4
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$47.2
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$307
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$293
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$68.48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85%+$55.15
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$30.86
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,032.29
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.17
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$150.14
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.3%+$34
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105.5
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$400.82
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$31.92
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$482.99
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.1%+$323.4
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+39.6%+$625.81
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$60
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Fonseca (+2.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$67.99
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
Arthur Rinderknech vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Raphael Collignon vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.39
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$473
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$242
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.65
Zverev vs. Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111
Bublik vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$443.32
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.9%+$116.5
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$81.91
Musetti vs. Machac: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.52
Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Kopriva (+2.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$95.03
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignonbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$15.41
Australian Open Men's: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$86.5
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$72.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$141.38
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99.37
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$730
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$85.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.49
Lionel Messi: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.13
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$136
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$315
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$163.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.