TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$394,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,567 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x603c…ac70backed Over49c97,204$47,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,956.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b6…5b6fbacked Under53c36,012$18,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,055.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8004540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over48c9,945$4,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,817.864143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c8,887$4,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,494.075,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c5,492$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.0812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Over49c5,254$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.282544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Over49c5,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4403545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Over47c4,748$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.623053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over51c4,333$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.695942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef9e…f326backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed Over48c3,430$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd9…648dbacked Under48c3,046$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under52c2,905$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.234744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over49c2,805$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.465639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c2,753$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.6715858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over47c2,685$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.035843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over49c2,652$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.098444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over47c2,109$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.282661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over48c2,006$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.9310437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Over50c2,000$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.677938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over47c2,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf6…af1ebacked Over45c1,983$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.21513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-74.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x736b…c11cbacked Over50c1,960$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under49c1,953$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.8818048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe501…5c4fbacked Under48c1,952$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over44c1,739$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over47c1,634$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.22748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Under52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under48c1,461$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.8774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Over47c1,300$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over49c1,213$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.097643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c1,172$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.9618744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Over49c1,150$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5286142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Over49c1,010$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.92360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Over48c1,010$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under52c1,010$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.7918556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4909839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6440…85e2backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd3…de97backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e44…1953backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…fee7backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47016341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ec4…b8e5backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda71…799dbacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa005…da58backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…998bbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Under53c991.28$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.92245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c901.3$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.681,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c741.95$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.4584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c722.34$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.714,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36416147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c636.35$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.642,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Under54c631.5$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.493060%18 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c513.6$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0946246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under51c487.78$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0122250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c448.44$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.521,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c408.16$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over49c404.59$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Over52c398.26$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.061030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over59c396.6$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0144146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over48c396.51$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.322948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c372.71$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9878052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under54c367.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.894257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over46c331.95$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.355149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c315.73$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.183,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under48c309.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.083177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c305.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0216650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c297.32$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.451,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c274.08$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0329650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…5e9ebacked Under48c248.69$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.321266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb3b…4b00backed Over48c242.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over49c242.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.953953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f26…33d1backed Over48c222.59$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Under49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.171872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over46c200.56$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2642948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c199.4$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.015,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over59c198.31$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11715356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Under54c198.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.24050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under52c198.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1620642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe12…c26fbacked Under53c192.68$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under53c187.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9111844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Under53c187.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.911070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a28…c488backed Over48c176.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a7…7635backed Under53c173.3$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1103…25b6backed Under53c170.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa34…523abacked Under53c165.02$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…2e34backed Over48c164$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7250%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c163.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7231448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.