TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbbd…d6f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT7248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,855Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,855
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.04
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$596.82
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$762.12
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$700.47
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,763Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$2,199.39
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2,165.44
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$176.61
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.74
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$436.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,201.19
1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,657.05
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.84
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,457Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$624.28
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.94
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.94
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.74
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,767.31
Spread: Raptors (-20.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$174.91
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.09
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$547.01
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.15
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,177.05
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.85
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,382.38
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.5
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,050
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.15
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.42
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$744.77
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$402
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$720.85
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.44
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.72
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$551.49
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,373.76
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,733.52
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$518.44
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,353.77
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,599
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.19
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$620.73
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.39
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+76%+$144.04
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT4047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,109.14
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,630.81
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.28
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,469Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$979.2
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,448.97
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,672.27
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$733.5
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.4
1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$665
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,120
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,344.96
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,790.19
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$393
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,688
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,028Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,554.61
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$648.34
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$310.69
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,307.41
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,356Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$527.49
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.47
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$854.83
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,472.23
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,409.16
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$697.42
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$429.03
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,428
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-2.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$525.97
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,945Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$5,720.96
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,125.66
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,057.07
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,956.8
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$976.92
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$192.72
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,822.57
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$174.36
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,574Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,029.77
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,696Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,903.99
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,986Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,494.79
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,065.54
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.4
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,965Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$4,290.24
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,052.49
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.83
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,555.4
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.28
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,565.68
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$605.82
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$178.1
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.54
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$237.87
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,220.17
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,904Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,235.6
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,198.2
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,380.04
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+193.5%+$2,020.85
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,755
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,384.8
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.9
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$5,070
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,581.17
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.22
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,389.14
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,151.33
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,909.43
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+152.4%+$2,251.46
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,030
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$508.19
Spread: Predators (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.95
All 20 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,472.5
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,764
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,081Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,081.22
Virtus Bologna vs. Paris Basketballbacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,665.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$204.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$129.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$835
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.