NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7584afadd3748d883ab1d0488fc8687e5c875658a3d28ae06413b80a9308d545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Wild | 63c | 32,346$20,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,377.84 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Blues | 37c | 8,660$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.67 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Blues | 37c | 8,148$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,133.55 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Blues | 37c | 6,002$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.39 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Blues | 37c | 4,339$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.55 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Blues | 34c | 3,065$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Blues | 37c | 1,579$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.47 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Blues | 37c | 1,285$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.86 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 63c | 1,203$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.19 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Wild | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Wild | 64c | 974.38$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.6 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Blues | 37c | 962.2$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.19 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Wild | 68c | 464.66$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.97 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Blues | 37c | 458.05$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.57 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Blues | 47c | 457.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 53c | 410.1$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Wild | 63c | 341.25$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wild | 55c | 298.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 38c | 286.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Blues | 38c | 252.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Blues | 78c | 188.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Wild | 65c | 165.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Wild | 64c | 162.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blues | 36c | 151.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 69c | 146.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Wild | 15c | 144.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blues | 29c | 143.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…6559backed Wild | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Blues | 22c | 128.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Wild | 78c | 126.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Wild | 77c | 105.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wild | 62c | 93.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Blues | 37c | 91.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wild | 57c | 85.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 37c | 81.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Blues | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Blues | 31c | 47.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Blues | 34c | 46.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…54e5backed Blues | 31c | 33.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Wild | 63c | 33.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c8…999bbacked Blues | 37c | 28.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…02e8backed Wild | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Blues won
- Wild vs. BluesBlues won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.