NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcebbc94aa9cd5460c80e39bbb49764931b2b01cc8968f2baa61735bb78cdabe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 56c | 9,245$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,201.04 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…718cbacked Over | 44c | 3,574$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 43c | 3,353$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.7 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,068$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.47 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 1,741$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.62 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed Over | 43c | 995.3$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 580.9$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 573.96$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.16 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 40c | 327.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 44c | 292.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 57c | 291.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 42c | 283.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 51c | 236.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…f853backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 58c | 181.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 18c | 158.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 146$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…29e7backed Over | 45c | 137.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Under | 57c | 126.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 43c | 120.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 116.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 111.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 31c | 104$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 99.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 92.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 58c | 92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 83.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 65c | 70.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 45c | 61.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Under | 56c | 54.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 41c | 53.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 52.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 43c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…c2d6backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 59c | 43.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 56c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 43c | 31.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…95f9backed Under | 57c | 18.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Under | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Blues won
- Wild vs. BluesBlues won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.