TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Wild, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,903,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,893,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,903,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 812 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blues55c570,492$311,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259,031.967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Wild39c423,522$164,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,309.7522443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blues53c120,557$63,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,828.111,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Wild39c104,503$40,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,476.0911644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blues61c96,320$58,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,399.7641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Wild46c84,802$38,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,615.555052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Wild44c67,108$29,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,527.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blues61c66,000$40,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,739.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wild47c65,665$30,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,604.7851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Blues61c60,000$36,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,3008657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Blues49c46,890$22,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,913.948240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues61c43,687$26,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,011.882,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wild50c43,250$21,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,539.8761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Wild44c42,214$18,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,574.165639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Wild44c34,428$15,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,148.323243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Wild38c24,150$9,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,17710146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Wild52c23,450$12,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,1942161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Blues50c21,101$10,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,550.5811052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Wild38c17,904$6,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,783.5312047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Blues62c17,850$10,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,864.47737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Wild48c17,805$8,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5603450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Wild46c17,424$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Wild38c16,510$6,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,273.92944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca3…4748backed Blues62c15,962$9,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,132.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Blues63c15,877$9,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,922.33056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a7…e95dbacked Wild0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Blues62c13,112$8,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,982.714553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8a…433dbacked Blues61c13,053$7,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,090.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Blues74c12,511$9,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.353354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Wild47c12,000$5,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6408854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Wild44c11,700$5,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,14818641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wild50c11,500$5,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,729.9827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Wild45c11,275$5,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,044.0315949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa102…36d9backed Wild45c10,920$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,91410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Wild44c10,862$4,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,779.285259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Wild49c10,600$5,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,192.868952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed Wild44c10,500$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,620922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Wild48c10,477$5,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,036.652245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Wild44c10,440$4,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.63240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Wild48c10,300$4,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9445149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild44c10,248$4,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,547.541,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Blues55c10,018$5,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,530.7933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Wild52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Blues61c9,836$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.0640356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wild50c9,609$4,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.3643548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild50c9,000$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,46060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Blues55c8,900$4,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Blues62c8,888$5,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.441947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Wild44c8,332$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.2589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed Wild50c8,100$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0502846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues55c8,081$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.981,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Wild50c8,000$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9659751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Blues62c7,877$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.3618853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0e…718cbacked Wild48c7,844$3,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,765.121050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Blues62c7,500$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8509260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5710…8028backed Wild50c7,400$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…2c2abacked Blues55c7,159$3,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.434247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild39c7,050$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.612,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Wild39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blues61c6,870$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.592,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Wild44c6,717$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.225350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Wild36c6,702$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40322043.2%95 W · 125 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Wild45c6,656$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.332429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild64c6,491$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.7875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wild19c6,084$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.8789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Wild52c6,000$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,09027448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e9…f5eabacked Wild50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked Wild50c6,000$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0201553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661a…e9e8backed Wild47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Wild49c5,937$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.7713850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Blues63c5,700$3,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1094555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Wild44c5,405$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3785230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d1…8ecabacked Blues62c5,260$3,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff32…1f91backed Wild48c5,233$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,51220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues56c5,172$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.581,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e3…d750backed Wild51c5,126$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.221942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Blues56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2003959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa797…5badbacked Wild44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Wild43c5,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1158…79eabacked Wild52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Wild48c5,000$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wild45c4,699$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.9666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild43c4,643$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.1747951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Wild45c4,611$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.283951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Wild20c4,581$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.2930259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Wild48c4,501$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.449038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Wild46c4,366$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Wild49c4,312$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1133647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Wild48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed Wild40c4,135$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6541250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Wild41c4,111$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.8111153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blues61c4,100$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Blues49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.638946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Wild49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wild36c3,830$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.722,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f6…c6e0backed Wild47c3,734$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wild38c3,683$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.4138849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Wild50c3,478$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7392650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Wild44c3,359$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.742142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Blues47c3,200$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.364942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.