TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5710…8028

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
20
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$359.05
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$252.42
LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$248.27
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.12
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.68
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,735.09
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+509.8%+$1,724.21
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$1,910.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.52
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,655.19
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.16
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$928.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$7,426.87
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,970.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,430.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,667.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.