NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da326018f38819f2824384c97ab018d32b7eb3159225a70cc6b0450eecb68e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Panthers, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,491,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,435,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,491,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 74c | 605,938$446,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,575.3 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 73c | 251,228$183,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,635.49 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Panthers | 26c | 214,285$55,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,714.1 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Panthers | 23c | 143,518$33,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,698.7 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Panthers | 26c | 127,109$33,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,048.34 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Panthers | 27c | 113,387$30,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,546.77 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Panthers | 27c | 86,114$23,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,364.22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Senators | 77c | 73,066$56,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,881.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 77c | 65,000$50,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,950 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Panthers | 26c | 62,839$16,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,350.17 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Senators | 76c | 38,477$29,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,234.59 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Panthers | 26c | 36,235$9,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,421 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Panthers | 28c | 32,142$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Panthers | 24c | 30,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Panthers | 26c | 24,616$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 76c | 19,408$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,657.85 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Panthers | 26c | 19,193$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.14 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Panthers | 23c | 18,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Panthers | 25c | 15,865$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Senators | 76c | 15,548$11,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.55 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Panthers | 25c | 14,506$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.6 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 74c | 14,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.99 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…a0f0backed Panthers | 3c | 13,800$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…795bbacked Panthers | 24c | 13,551$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Panthers | 26c | 10,705$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Senators | 77c | 10,600$8,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.58 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Panthers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Panthers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.98 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Panthers | 26c | 9,914$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.64 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Panthers | 28c | 8,951$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.18 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…79ebbacked Panthers | 26c | 8,950$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Panthers | 26c | 8,546$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5710…8028backed Panthers | 26c | 8,540$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Panthers | 26c | 8,538$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Panthers | 1c | 8,250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf1…d077backed Panthers | 26c | 8,160$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Panthers | 26c | 8,087$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.49 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…a6b2backed Panthers | 26c | 8,078$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Panthers | 26c | 7,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…79eabacked Panthers | 28c | 7,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Panthers | 26c | 7,480$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Panthers | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 27c | 6,959$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.86 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Panthers | 23c | 6,426$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Panthers | 26c | 6,390$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.62 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Panthers | 26c | 6,388$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Panthers | 25c | 6,334$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.57 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Senators | 73c | 6,034$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.27 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Panthers | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Panthers | 26c | 5,616$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Panthers | 26c | 5,180$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.8 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…6c66backed Panthers | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Senators | 75c | 4,950$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Panthers | 28c | 4,872$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Panthers | 27c | 4,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Panthers | 27c | 4,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.98 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers | 27c | 4,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Panthers | 27c | 4,448$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.96 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Panthers | 0c | 4,274$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers | 27c | 4,200$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.84 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…1e61backed Panthers | 0c | 4,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Panthers | 26c | 4,009$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.94 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Panthers | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Panthers | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Panthers | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 75c | 3,998$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.89 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Panthers | 17c | 3,939$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 75c | 3,866$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.37 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Panthers | 26c | 3,665$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.88 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panthers | 15c | 3,620$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.76 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed Panthers | 27c | 3,466$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked Panthers | 26c | 3,400$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 73c | 3,333$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.91 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 76c | 3,330$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Senators | 76c | 3,024$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.68 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Panthers | 26c | 3,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…064ebacked Panthers | 28c | 2,832$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffa…6db7backed Panthers | 26c | 2,797$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Panthers | 28c | 2,780$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Panthers | 26c | 2,719$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed Panthers | 26c | 2,706$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked Panthers | 28c | 2,661$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed Panthers | 28c | 2,634$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Panthers | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Panthers | 26c | 2,461$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.73 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Panthers | 25c | 2,443$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.19 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Panthers | 26c | 2,412$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.51 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Panthers | 27c | 2,314$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.87 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Senators | 77c | 2,087$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.01 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed Panthers | 26c | 2,055$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Panthers | 26c | 2,033$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.58 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Panthers | 27c | 2,010$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.3 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Senators | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Panthers | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…28ddbacked Panthers | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Panthers | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…e521backed Panthers | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Senators | 75c | 1,892$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Panthers | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Panthers | 1c | 1,700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Senatorsthis page
- Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.