TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b6f…ce60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 62 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$558.92
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.11
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,235.58
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,993.95
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,542Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$8,074.73
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.76
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,704.79
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,480.38
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,990.14
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,875Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,916.73
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$484.14
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,423.19
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,050
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,657Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,541.06
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,640.42
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,227.53
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12,107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$9,046.05
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,672.7
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,776Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3,024
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17,316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6,083.98
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,001.7
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,908.49
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,570.48
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,353.2
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,553Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,006.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,499.65
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,919Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$4,789.93
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,706Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$4,014.4
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,656Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,044
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,416.47
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,787Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9,403.19
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,190.18
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,165
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,762Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$8,078.4
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$13,000
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,442Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,008.5
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,876Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,074.5
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,769.85
Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,664.9
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$10,174.84
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,565Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$9,564.8
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,070
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14,014
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,883Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$10,017
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$2,046.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10,068Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5,421
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$9,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,880.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,345.13
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20,128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22,697.25
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22,673Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12,753.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,198.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48,982Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$15,453.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,276.2
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,459.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+217.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,518.04
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23,790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15,209.94
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,778Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,849.97
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,911.11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.3
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$20,240
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$15,331.35
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20,196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+351.6%+$71,005.53
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-78.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,134.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.29
Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.13
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,430.65
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,673.24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$139,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139,488.88
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,433.05
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,356.6
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,087.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$425.76
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,464.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,016
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,445.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.33
Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,045.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23,312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20,673.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$307.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,336
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.