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NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,104 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over52c16,734$8,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,049.2617250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under49c14,500$7,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,17524045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c12,312$6,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,238.194,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Under50c10,118$5,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,058.993447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc540…f7e5backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c8,629$4,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,371.571,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Under50c8,340$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1707653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72fa…249bbacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c6,000$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Under47c5,670$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.92161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under48c4,944$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.1223052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c3,975$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00738946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c3,649$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over53c3,020$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.414245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under50c2,915$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.537755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under51c2,169$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7910847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,872$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under49c1,684$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,490$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.93,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under48c1,292$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.2110651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c1,027$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.222,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Over54c913.31$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.55745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c612.52$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c524.29$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.791,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Under50c443.87$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4517041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c439.36$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under38c406$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2826839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under50c391.92$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.37542.7%32 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Under50c389.48$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0721546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under50c383.28$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.959855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c376.2$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under51c304.37$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7610748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4663447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under48c275.75$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over50c243$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c226.8$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under50c192.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.736248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Over50c190.3$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.153360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1926956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1914156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c176.11$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.062,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Under50c168.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.959345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under48c159.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under50c144.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.86040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c132$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Under50c126.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4922148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Over51c108$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.926653%35 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c105.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.410955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Over50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.59551.6%49 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Under50c82.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4411642.2%49 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under49c82.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under50c78.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5420049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over51c72.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7338853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Under50c69.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.159441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Under50c68.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.379841.8%41 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over49c61.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Under50c60.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5715441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0893…c760backed Over53c60.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.482263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c49.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8864844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c50…7f4bbacked Under50c47.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.792045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b05…7b7dbacked Under50c45.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.723756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under50c42.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.054942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa15…270ebacked Under50c41.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.023458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…37d5backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465650%28 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over50c36.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2423651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over54c36.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6827646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under50c34.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5124147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5218…48d9backed Under50c32.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.142653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d0…a2a2backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over60c30.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.431,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88bc…fc0dbacked Under50c29.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.842665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c29.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c81…3c02backed Over59c25.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9697…8024backed Under50c25.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…4f09backed Under50c25.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.672254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Under48c23.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.428344.6%37 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7981…dd95backed Under50c23.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Under52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89ce…f240backed Over50c20.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over59c18.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4713954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.