NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda78934066dafcfc9e1b6b89d6615fbaa30f6827eed8f0ac5348c8974551c0a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,104 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 52c | 16,734$8,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.26 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 14,500$7,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 12,312$6,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,238.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Under | 50c | 10,118$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 8,629$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,371.57 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Under | 50c | 8,340$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…249bbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Under | 47c | 5,670$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 48c | 4,944$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.12 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 3,975$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 3,649$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 53c | 3,020$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.4 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 50c | 2,915$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.5 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 2,169$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.79 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,872$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 1,684$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,490$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 48c | 1,292$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.21 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,027$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Over | 54c | 913.31$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 612.52$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 524.29$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.79 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Under | 50c | 443.87$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 49c | 439.36$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 38c | 406$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under | 50c | 391.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 50c | 389.48$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 50c | 383.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 376.2$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.34 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 51c | 304.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 275.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 50c | 243$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 226.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 50c | 192.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Over | 50c | 190.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 176.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Under | 50c | 168.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 48c | 159.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 50c | 144.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 132$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Under | 50c | 126.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 51c | 108$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 105.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Under | 50c | 82.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 82.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 50c | 78.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 51c | 72.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Under | 50c | 69.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Under | 50c | 68.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Under | 50c | 60.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…c760backed Over | 53c | 60.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 49.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7f4bbacked Under | 50c | 47.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Under | 50c | 45.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 50c | 42.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Under | 50c | 41.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 50c | 36.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 54c | 36.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 50c | 34.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Under | 50c | 32.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…a2a2backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 60c | 30.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…fc0dbacked Under | 50c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 29.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…3c02backed Over | 59c | 25.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9697…8024backed Under | 50c | 25.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…4f09backed Under | 50c | 25.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Under | 48c | 23.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7981…dd95backed Under | 50c | 23.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…f240backed Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 59c | 18.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Heat vs. RocketsRockets won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.