TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x03e6…24e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
249
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10649.1%52 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$42.18
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$79.18
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.11
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$40.01
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$30.83
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.28
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$34.57
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.91
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$99.55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$308.38
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.32
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.09
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.34
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$47.35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.09
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$125.71
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+80%+$84.82
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.72
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$186.97
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.5
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT9841.8%41 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.85
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$328.91
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.89
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.46
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.99
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.28
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+186.4%+$69.43
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+174.6%+$82.63
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.94
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.49
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$57.82
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+351.9%+$272.37
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$22.33
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.88
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$121.45
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$48.66
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$112.09
Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.37
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.96
Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.14
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+56.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+188.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$61.28
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$51.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$175.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs BOSS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.