NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05c64f7895c398961a3ef96f8a8ec11c0f1927acb481d4036b701e924c68608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,514 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Hawks | 46c | 95,088$44,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,003.8 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 53c | 89,594$47,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,898.77 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Warriors | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.99 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks | 46c | 18,052$8,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,747.88 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 53c | 17,811$9,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,485.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 54c | 14,147$7,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.16 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Hawks | 47c | 11,030$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.9 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Hawks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Hawks | 47c | 7,880$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 55c | 6,763$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Hawks | 47c | 6,675$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 53c | 4,340$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Hawks | 47c | 4,216$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.46 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 48c | 3,716$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Hawks | 46c | 3,696$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.65 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hawks | 46c | 3,238$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.74 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hawks | 46c | 2,480$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.2 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.64 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Hawks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Warriors | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.5 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Hawks | 47c | 1,346$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.18 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Hawks | 46c | 1,339$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.91 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Hawks | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.76 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Warriors | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Hawks | 47c | 846.9$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.24 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Hawks | 47c | 809.72$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.15 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Hawks | 47c | 767.8$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.93 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Warriors | 54c | 705$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 45c | 690.66$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Hawks | 47c | 680.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.85 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Hawks | 47c | 679.55$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.16 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Warriors | 62c | 645$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Hawks | 38c | 635.1$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.76 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Hawks | 47c | 590.62$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.03 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Warriors | 54c | 565$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Warriors | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Hawks | 47c | 521.11$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Hawks | 47c | 511.34$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Hawks | 47c | 509.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Hawks | 47c | 486.68$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.94 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 53c | 471.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Warriors | 54c | 451.69$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Warriors | 54c | 370.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Hawks | 47c | 353.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Warriors | 51c | 311$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Warriors | 55c | 251$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Hawks | 47c | 224.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 51c | 208.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Hawks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Hawks | 47c | 181.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Hawks | 47c | 170.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Hawks | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Hawks | 46c | 146.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Warriors | 54c | 143$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Warriors | 54c | 139.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Warriors | 55c | 113.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Hawks | 47c | 110.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Warriors | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…5b91backed Hawks | 47c | 108.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hawks | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Hawks | 47c | 104.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Hawks | 47c | 93.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Warriors | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Hawks | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Hawks | 47c | 91.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Hawks | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Hawks | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Hawks | 47c | 81.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 46c | 73.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Hawks | 46c | 67.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Hawks | 47c | 62.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Warriors | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Hawks | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Hawks | 47c | 58.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Warriors | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Hawks | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Hawks | 47c | 52.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Hawks | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…282cbacked Hawks | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 43c | 49.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Hawks | 47c | 47.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Hawks | 47c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…289abacked Hawks | 47c | 44.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Hawks | 47c | 44.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Hawks | 47c | 43.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Warriors | 54c | 43.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Hawks | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…871fbacked Hawks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Hawks | 52c | 42.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…fc0dbacked Hawks | 47c | 41.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks | 46c | 40.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 44c | 38.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Warriors | 53c | 37.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Warriors | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9697…8024backed Hawks | 47c | 35.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…4f09backed Hawks | 47c | 35.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
- Warriors vs. HawksHawks won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.