TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb6f…2653

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT16249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+102%+$2,020
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,468Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,527.92
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,591.26
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,160
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,469.99
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,624Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,690.29
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,529.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.99
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.15
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.21
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,040
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$839.63
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,879.97
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,215.18
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,035Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$643.43
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,059.99
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,590
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$557.26
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.98
Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,217.2
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$950.33
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$33.65
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$4,201.51
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,865Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,653.87
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,067
FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,767
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,400
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,706.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,529.97
Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,028Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$2,985.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$828.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.