TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$905,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$959,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Rockets51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.7972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Rockets52c88,661$46,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,183.669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Lakers47c80,000$37,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,099.751,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Rockets52c67,825$35,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,269.178038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Rockets53c65,935$35,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,190.1687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers49c64,025$31,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,793.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Lakers49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,5002458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Rockets50c49,908$24,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,954.1511333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers67c35,818$24,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,797.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Lakers47c32,223$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,222.5317441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rockets51c31,757$16,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,195.926253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf09a…a371backed Lakers50c27,180$13,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5901457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Rockets8c25,099$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers66c22,835$15,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,739.751,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Lakers48c20,405$9,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,610.610949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Lakers48c19,160$9,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,963.2717249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Lakers50c18,656$9,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3285655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Lakers46c18,610$8,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,049.428643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Lakers49c15,360$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,860.485935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Rockets53c15,094$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0004438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers66c14,404$9,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,929.121,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rockets53c11,314$5,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,996.6659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Rockets56c10,500$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,88010248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Lakers47c10,347$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,517.673531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Lakers47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.8211864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers48c9,809$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,058.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Lakers46c9,803$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,293.7116039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Rockets52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Rockets52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00063746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed3…e972backed Lakers49c8,884$4,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Lakers49c8,600$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,38612056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers56c8,543$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Rockets53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,239.9620057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Lakers48c7,953$3,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.9757950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Rockets53c7,901$4,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,187.5337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Lakers48c7,624$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,980.4818749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Lakers48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2503943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Lakers49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.453641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Rockets52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1203545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12017055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Rockets51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.9924252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Lakers49c5,714$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.2918349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Lakers50c5,590$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.814441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Lakers48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6003951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Lakers45c4,996$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.9232846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers67c4,910$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.8856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Rockets55c4,551$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.057048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets53c4,115$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.361,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers47c4,045$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.2227645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lakers48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0802,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Lakers49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0401,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers47c3,973$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Lakers49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers50c3,802$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.573,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Rockets50c3,500$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7657358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets53c3,341$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.151,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Rockets52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Lakers49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9610248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Lakers47c2,997$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.1165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers47c2,977$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Lakers49c2,857$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Lakers46c2,790$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.6116743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers47c2,787$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.841,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384c…2f59backed Rockets51c2,763$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4091080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Rockets52c2,692$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4007054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lakers48c2,574$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.4817052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Lakers49c2,449$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.982157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Lakers58c2,421$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.1645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Rockets53c2,358$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Lakers48c2,229$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.174951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Lakers46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Rockets54c2,148$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lakers47c2,141$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.151,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Lakers48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.332638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Lakers49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.825940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Lakers45c2,004$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.173953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Lakers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02018844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6975…11c1backed Lakers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0203246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lakers46c2,000$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.6650346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Lakers49c1,802$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91912240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Lakers53c1,757$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.672,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9375…b655backed Lakers50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Rockets53c1,578$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Lakers71c1,531$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1514845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Rockets52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Lakers49c1,433$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.7818343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers47c1,330$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.122,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe58b…ed60backed Rockets54c1,285$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.9812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-76.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Lakers49c1,271$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.523844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Rockets52c1,252$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.1962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Lakers46c1,230$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers49c1,123$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.731,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Lakers49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56156043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x188e…70d8backed Lakers48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Lakers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54013128.2%37 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Rockets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Rockets22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.