TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e01…0875

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,706.12
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,900
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,250
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,719
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$818.18
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,122.45
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,908Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,026.9
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,906.4
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,935.2
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,940
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,939Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,017.93
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,059.24
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,936Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,183.6
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,330.16
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,941.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,938.8
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Botafogo FR vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,261.69
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$4,758.85
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$1,252.86
EC Bahia vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,789Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,718.67
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,448.36
SC Internacional vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$874.6
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)backed Club Puebla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,430
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed Club Tijuana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,814.91
CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$764.97
Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,101.66
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,860.63
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,945Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,656.68
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,940
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.4
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.09
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Will SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.81
All 19 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting Kansas City vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,759.5
CF Montréal vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,091.8
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,483.76
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,934
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,846.15
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,703.7
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Philadelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$333.93
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,467.95
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,571.43
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$838
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$889
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,928Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,892
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.66
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Çaykur Rizespor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,940
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,081.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,008.97
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,921.57
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,938.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,940
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,941.2
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.