TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,999.9454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Over53c72,359$38,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,350.392240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under49c50,510$24,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,803.4937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over53c28,302$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c14,634$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Over51c11,765$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0003540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under47c11,592$5,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,143.843240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Over51c11,347$5,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,786.977048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c8,594$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c8,092$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over33c5,987$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9936448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c5,800$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c5,454$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over53c5,133$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.4917055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c4,661$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.4164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c4,623$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over50c4,215$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.2614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Over51c4,015$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.555442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over51c3,878$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.785345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.9914338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Over51c3,371$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7193943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf12f…0505backed Over50c3,134$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5671936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under47c2,990$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.750346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under47c2,850$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.4316743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over52c2,654$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.284744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over51c2,529$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2904951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9644252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc9…a64cbacked Over51c2,133$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c2,123$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.334949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over53c2,030$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.7330446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04025657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over52c1,999$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.61225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Under48c1,875$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9756144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over53c1,698$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,682$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Under58c1,542$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.361942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over52c1,539$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c1,484$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.091,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over45c1,415$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under48c1,356$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56df…edc2backed Over3c1,200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.392540%10 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under55c1,181$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over32c1,176$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37512540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over51c1,159$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.0916946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c1,044$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.952,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c1,033$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.8337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c1,030$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.82,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaaaa…6783backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0a…dda0backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under56c864.18$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.248752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c852.69$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.3962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over38c809.48$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.65540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under52c794.83$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.337946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7630…bf84backed Under64c782.81$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.811747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8844…cffcbacked Over19c776$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Over49c749.97$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.481637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c711.81$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.493,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c710.13$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.541,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under48c706.23$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2461638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c683.72$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.862,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over52c624$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.489657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under56c576.91$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8420946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under48c555.19$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.11,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8311153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over42c499.74$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8915246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c487.01$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.611,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over53c475$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.752665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa739…c23dbacked Over11c425$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…e38cbacked Over46c423.74$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.160%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Under48c412.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.411838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c408.63$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.672,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Over27c407.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.27936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14017946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d61…26e5backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over52c385.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over40c383.57$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.376233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under48c378.27$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4826638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Under49c359.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.592254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under56c350.87$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Under79c348.1$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.12759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under56c340.07$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c318.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.11,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under58c311.88$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.513,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.