TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c87…bb1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.52
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$190.52
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$79.95
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$335.94
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$199.25
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$181.05
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,304.31
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$73.1
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$398.42
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$53.85
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$288.88
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.06
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$138.06
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$1,158.69
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$778.71
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.19
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.7
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$421.93
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$388.4
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.4
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$549.76
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$136.24
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.43
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49%+$152.18
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.56
Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80.93
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$109.27
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.79
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.99
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.88
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$471.43
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$264.36
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$258.77
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$122.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventutbacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$169.83
CB Murcia vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$92.8
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42%+$341.57
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$28.92
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$156.43
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$88.02
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$125.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.