TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$338,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$336,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb652…2db4backed Over49c80,470$39,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,734.7337627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over53c54,180$28,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,500.652454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under51c51,499$26,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,231.198154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Over51c38,852$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0005036%18 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c38,218$18,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,873.1469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under47c38,000$17,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,14016039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c37,082$17,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,388.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Over53c20,658$10,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,848.574438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c20,200$10,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,11214842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over52c15,397$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c15,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,300.1166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over52c11,363$5,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,897.717055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over49c8,786$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.3314538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over0c6,800$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Under50c6,500$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.035552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c5,994$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.0365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Over51c5,823$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.979741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c5,671$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.594,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under51c5,000$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.9343348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over53c4,619$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.8256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c4,000$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9801,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c3,963$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.582,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c3,414$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.1218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Over50c3,371$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7005242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under48c3,137$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.571,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9815849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c2,553$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Over47c2,523$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.67945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over49c2,222$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75de…ae49backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdc…524abacked Over50c1,903$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over53c1,792$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95017147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under50c1,735$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.7117250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over51c1,611$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.482548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c1,490$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c1,431$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.8818444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over10c1,400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over49c1,106$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.7413544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Under64c1,047$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.727452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed Under49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9918345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c951.17$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.0844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under60c945.08$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.221,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over33c928.2$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9831345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c899.83$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.911,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Over44c881.21$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3929026.7%24 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under53c846.66$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.1225840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under60c826.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.61478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c758.37$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.741,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under68c740.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1417246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Under60c715.85$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.882759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over48c620$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.61,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Under50c590$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2956240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Under56c537$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.634944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over50c528.75$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0919958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under51c434.2$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ba…b202backed Under51c430$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0539…0529backed Over48c430$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6721147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Over50c400.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19239864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e1…dcf6backed Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f07…0c4abacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c377.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.133,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under52c330.77$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.772347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over41c319.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13025850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Under49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.124839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under50c302.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3815651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4613852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7797…668bbacked Over6c280$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under53c264.92$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1719756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c247.28$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.731,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over49c244.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over48c239.77$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0914347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7727549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e9…9afabacked Over20c212.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.091040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Over52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over52c203.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9885449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under47c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9550954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.