NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c64bffbe80724944b355dab89b0b106715fece2ccb8be6c81402e4e008999c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,725,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,962,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,725,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Rockets | 40c | 749,978$299,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450,880.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 43c | 415,189$178,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,955.25 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 49c | 349,680$170,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,134.93 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers | 61c | 306,542$187,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,115.3 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Lakers | 60c | 280,699$168,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,419.15 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 60c | 243,688$146,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,625.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 40c | 212,933$85,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,759.63 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers | 60c | 189,091$114,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,173.18 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Rockets | 40c | 150,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,000 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rockets | 51c | 127,340$65,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,296.58 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Rockets | 40c | 113,473$45,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,083.94 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 1c | 101,705$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.51 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 67c | 91,927$61,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,727.21 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Rockets | 41c | 89,613$36,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,021.65 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 47c | 85,484$40,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,202.52 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Lakers | 60c | 82,888$49,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,732.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Rockets | 38c | 79,665$30,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,392.09 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 38c | 70,839$26,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,932.91 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Rockets | 38c | 67,507$25,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,854.16 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Rockets | 42c | 58,400$24,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,872 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Lakers | 59c | 55,932$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rockets | 41c | 54,218$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,167.85 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Rockets | 40c | 52,750$21,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,545.3 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Rockets | 38c | 52,632$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,631.58 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Lakers | 52c | 50,000$26,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,168.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 58c | 48,451$27,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,538.85 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 65c | 46,783$30,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,421.02 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lakers | 55c | 44,000$24,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,149.98 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Lakers | 54c | 40,000$21,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,400 | 53 | 79.2%42 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Lakers | 27c | 34,599$9,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,355.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Lakers | 48c | 32,973$15,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,883.96 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lakers | 54c | 32,466$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Rockets | 39c | 32,000$12,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,519.88 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Rockets | 38c | 31,794$12,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,576.51 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Lakers | 24c | 31,329$7,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,429.52 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Lakers | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,399.94 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets | 35c | 27,785$9,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,171.09 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Rockets | 44c | 26,768$11,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,928.64 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Lakers | 49c | 25,837$12,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,666.4 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Rockets | 38c | 25,234$9,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,645.17 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Rockets | 40c | 25,170$9,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,196 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Lakers | 50c | 24,751$12,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,370.89 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers | 33c | 24,462$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,039.72 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets | 47c | 23,172$10,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,272.94 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 12c | 22,571$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.1 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Rockets | 39c | 21,000$8,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,730 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Lakers | 33c | 20,834$6,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Lakers | 60c | 20,667$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers | 10c | 20,608$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.37 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…9d64backed Rockets | 40c | 19,821$7,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,892.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Lakers | 58c | 19,500$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 2c | 19,463$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.59 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Lakers | 0c | 19,261$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Rockets | 40c | 18,888$7,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,332.76 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lakers | 53c | 18,729$9,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,905.86 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Lakers | 60c | 18,461$11,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,111 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Rockets | 72c | 17,501$12,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,937.57 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 31c | 16,842$5,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 59c | 16,770$9,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,961.46 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Lakers | 66c | 15,900$10,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,431.91 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Rockets | 63c | 15,873$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.02 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Lakers | 18c | 15,547$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.8 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Lakers | 70c | 15,238$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Rockets | 42c | 15,007$6,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,704.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Lakers | 59c | 14,625$8,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,628.77 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Lakers | 15c | 13,987$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.33 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Rockets | 42c | 13,877$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,026.96 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Rockets | 38c | 13,500$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,370 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Lakers | 27c | 13,355$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Lakers | 60c | 13,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…b403backed Lakers | 62c | 12,997$8,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,053 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Rockets | 44c | 12,818$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,122.96 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Lakers | 62c | 12,722$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,943.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…78b8backed Lakers | 32c | 12,575$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 59c | 12,555$7,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.2 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Lakers | 61c | 12,000$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Rockets | 57c | 11,630$6,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.18 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 0c | 11,178$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Lakers | 64c | 10,875$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,933.19 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 51c | 10,805$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,278.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Lakers | 43c | 10,775$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.79 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets | 40c | 10,469$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,248.71 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Lakers | 60c | 10,200$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Rockets | 40c | 10,076$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,086.58 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Rockets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.95 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 40c | 10,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.9 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 59c | 9,742$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,789.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Lakers | 48c | 9,713$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.99 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 56c | 9,481$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Rockets | 75c | 9,250$6,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Rockets | 58c | 9,219$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.74 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Rockets | 36c | 9,000$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Lakers | 62c | 8,352$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed Rockets | 39c | 8,302$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…024dbacked Lakers | 62c | 8,248$5,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Lakers | 62c | 8,224$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.73 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 61c | 8,045$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 0c | 7,854$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 61c | 7,830$4,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.3 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.