NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a634ec7cbbe98a1dcaf6d19227196a03a9126f2b0823160bf80079b55f10f0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 47c | 8,255$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.32 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 1,157$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.19 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 42c | 838.72$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.85 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 56c | 611.22$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.28 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 50c | 565.08$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.12 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 57c | 526.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 58c | 515.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 406.25$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 18c | 380.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 61c | 328.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 43c | 272.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 268.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…2253backed Over | 61c | 265.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 44c | 248.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 57c | 231.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Over | 55c | 179.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…3652backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 161.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 55c | 158$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Over | 58c | 115.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…d5a2backed Over | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 37c | 97.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 48c | 97.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Under | 66c | 75.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 45c | 56.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 53.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Over | 56c | 53.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…307abacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…1308backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…bfefbacked Over | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…1cfdbacked Over | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked Over | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 63c | 23.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…aaf5backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked Under | 59c | 17.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 16.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.