NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e2286295680bc1f6916ec055ecd12b4a16f8b6ffe265de65b51842e554cd761

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Lakers, Rockets
Resolved: Apr 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $129,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $141,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,631 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Rockets	49c	18,210$8,905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,304.35	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers	56c	17,412$9,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,690.91	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Rockets	44c	13,686$6,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,664.23	104	59.6%62 W · 42 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lakers	51c	8,635$4,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,403.62	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed Rockets	46c	8,492$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,591.61	74	59.5%44 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Lakers	56c	5,419$3,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,021.78	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Lakers	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Lakers	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	118	64.4%76 W · 42 L	+15.6wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Rockets	47c	4,893$2,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,613.54	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Rockets	44c	4,859$2,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,721.15	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Lakers	48c	4,600$2,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets	46c	4,347$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,347.38	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Lakers	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,159.97	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Lakers	56c	3,700$2,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,065	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Lakers	54c	3,652$1,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,969	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Rockets	53c	2,446$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.88	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers	54c	2,149$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160.5	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Lakers	57c	1,921$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…a222backed Rockets	45c	1,520$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.2	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Lakers	66c	1,500$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers	56c	1,429$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets	44c	1,345$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.95	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Rockets	45c	1,300$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.23	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Lakers	56c	1,250$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Lakers	57c	1,228$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-6.1wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Rockets	44c	1,114$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.64	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Rockets	46c	1,035$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.9	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Lakers	56c	1,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	168	44%74 W · 94 L	-11.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Lakers	57c	960.53$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.5	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lakers	53c	949$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.97	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers	55c	927.27$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.78	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Rockets	46c	920$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.4	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Lakers	51c	904.17$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2796…2aedbacked Lakers	57c	877.19$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets	45c	862.62$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.44	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets	46c	844.09$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.81	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Lakers	55c	717.68$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.73	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Lakers	52c	601.36$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84df…e3b8backed Rockets	43c	600$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers	43c	591.81$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.56	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Lakers	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Lakers	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+11.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8edc…3a70backed Rockets	43c	500$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Lakers	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Rockets	52c	469.42$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.32	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers	37c	455.04$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.54	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Rockets	46c	440$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.6	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers	54c	409.44$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.1	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Lakers	52c	408.77$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.27	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336a…1967backed Lakers	56c	400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Lakers	42c	377$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.34	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Rockets	45c	363.75$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.09	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e1…6851backed Lakers	56c	350$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…2370backed Lakers	56c	350$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e41…5932backed Lakers	51c	340$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.4	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Lakers	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c4…cd4abacked Lakers	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f3…73e6backed Lakers	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-39%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Rockets	43c	264.55$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.79	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Lakers	47c	250$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.5	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	-12.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Rockets	44c	250$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	278	47.1%131 W · 147 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Lakers	53c	240$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.2	258	40.7%105 W · 153 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lakers	54c	237.81$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.34	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Lakers	13c	235.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed Lakers	53c	210$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.3	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked Lakers	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Lakers	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Lakers	56c	178.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Rockets	45c	177.78$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.78	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d59…6441backed Lakers	49c	156.7$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.26	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Lakers	56c	155$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.54	346	41%142 W · 204 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Lakers	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2203…e5a1backed Lakers	56c	150$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Rockets	44c	129$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.24	295	56.6%167 W · 128 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Lakers	55c	117.95$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.87	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c1…fca4backed Lakers	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Rockets	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Lakers	57c	105.26$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Lakers	54c	104.86$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.53	234	45.7%107 W · 127 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Lakers	57c	102$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.14	91	56%51 W · 40 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Rockets	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Lakers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Lakers	55c	99.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	384	64.3%247 W · 137 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed Lakers	42c	95.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+26%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Lakers	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x205a…1e64backed Lakers	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0918…b2d5backed Lakers	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Lakers	49c	81.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	148	45.3%67 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers	55c	74.92$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Lakers	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…dbaabacked Lakers	56c	69.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Lakers	51c	69$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.19	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfed…25bbbacked Rockets	44c	68$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.08	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.40per pick	40cpaid	+76.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb861…040ebacked Lakers	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Rockets	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…199bbacked Lakers	42c	59.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Rockets	45c	55.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.54	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Lakers	25c	53.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	130	42.3%55 W · 75 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Rockets	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	+8.8wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Rockets	48c	51.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.57	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+13.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Rockets won
1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
Rockets vs. LakersRockets won
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5No won
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Rockets won
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Rockets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event