TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b01…dee1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$160
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$187.42
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$320.31
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$140
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$106.41
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$119.26
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$414.29
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,446Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,996.42
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,262.56
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,203.19
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.77
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$265.93
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.65
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.17
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$118.7
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$214.77
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.46
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.48
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.8
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.