TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Oilers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,885,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,994,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,885,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 762 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings52c425,889$223,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,359.621,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Oilers47c402,769$191,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,038.6851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Kings54c367,612$197,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169,835.1819848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Oilers49c158,362$77,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,213.7667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Kings50c156,454$79,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,452.3815054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Oilers49c134,576$65,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,942.142161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Oilers48c116,000$55,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,569.7848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings52c84,143$43,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,183.8240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings52c77,756$40,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,294.011,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Oilers46c65,000$29,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,90024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Oilers47c40,931$19,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,237.665052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Oilers48c30,850$14,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,711.488657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Oilers47c28,571$13,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,428.354139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Oilers50c25,999$12,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,955.153243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Oilers48c24,890$11,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,869.310146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Oilers48c22,883$10,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,983.8418641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Oilers32c22,098$7,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,044.74151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Oilers48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.999260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Oilers48c20,710$9,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,940.7118853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Oilers47c20,598$9,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,680.9415949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings62c18,556$11,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,997.5527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oilers48c18,527$8,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,937.142,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Oilers48c18,152$8,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,676.864957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2305…0acebacked Oilers50c15,894$7,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,937.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Oilers48c15,843$7,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,583.077737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oilers48c13,620$6,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,472.142,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Kings50c13,300$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,700.344450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Oilers47c12,150$5,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,710.55743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers48c12,028$5,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,826.91,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Oilers49c11,457$5,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,580.328854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Kings68c11,202$7,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,584.6130944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings51c9,893$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.041,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Oilers49c9,871$4,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,856.6712838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Oilers47c9,500$4,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4653240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers49c8,500$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.9860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Oilers48c8,171$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9223333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Oilers49c8,071$3,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,954.992748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Kings49c8,005$3,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,077.393151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Oilers49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Oilers49c8,000$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.9627850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Kings53c7,996$4,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.954555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Oilers28c7,830$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.8913147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Oilers47c7,600$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5722035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Kings53c7,550$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.530946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers48c7,521$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.1161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Oilers49c7,000$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3959751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Oilers22c6,364$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Oilers48c6,360$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.079038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kings52c6,333$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.8431550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Kings53c6,326$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.0912654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Oilers48c6,000$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.9922747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Oilers49c6,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.9830552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Oilers48c5,981$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.889254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Kings53c5,858$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.056352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed Oilers47c5,790$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Oilers30c5,719$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Oilers48c5,708$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7405230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Oilers47c5,694$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.953154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Kings49c5,576$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.6631654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers49c5,308$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kings53c5,122$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.9840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Kings58c5,010$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.9619759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Kings52c4,762$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.337557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Kings56c4,660$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.213852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Oilers47c4,600$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.9916843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Oilers48c4,358$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.034841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Kings52c4,129$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.8413252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings49c4,023$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.6712950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers26c4,001$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.0789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Oilers51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Kings49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.959853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Oilers48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0008946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Kings52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Oilers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Kings49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0401758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9839752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Kings80c3,978$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.219562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb65d…616dbacked Oilers36c3,582$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Oilers25c3,342$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.482,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Oilers49c3,134$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.311643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Oilers48c3,084$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.382853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers48c3,081$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers37c3,078$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.882,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Oilers49c3,010$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.762249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Oilers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Oilers48c2,975$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.7819050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Oilers48c2,843$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.4366552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Kings68c2,830$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.8210941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…a5cabacked Oilers49c2,698$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5b…88acbacked Oilers47c2,691$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2652339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x925f…40a5backed Oilers49c2,691$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Kings52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kings75c2,277$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.614946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Kings52c2,244$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.1131848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Oilers47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.257244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Oilers47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Kings62c2,103$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.914062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Oilers49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.