TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0140…9510

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT5550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,094.96
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,922Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$3,055.63
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$5,057.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$3,582.48
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$1,393
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$550.35
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,438.83
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.43
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.73
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,931.46
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,581.59
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$1,586.13
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,696.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.4
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,839.07
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$396.18
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$5,079.32
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$801.84
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,031.81
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$158.1
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,055.62
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$406.34
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,465.95
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,324.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26%+$201.99
Jiujiang: Keegan Smith vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensikbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.32
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverevbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.18
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,062.42
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$970
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,855Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$2,759.08
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,703Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$922.21
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,606.46
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$868.31
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.32
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.68
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$822.41
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.14
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.02
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.22
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.84
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$9,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,097.99
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$309.17
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.21
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,010.29
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.8
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$290.59
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,045
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$595.87
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,796Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+61.3%+$1,712.69
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,490.84
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$898.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$1,345.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$211.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$556.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,157
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.