MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53a0d3980747503a4a2c9c80f4ea2373a6f7d56af6d8cee8fd9ed2179da53c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $776,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 77,501$39,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,165.04 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 76,137$33,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,500.32 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 75,296$27,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,024.88 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 45,000$24,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,249.94 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 44,643$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,642.86 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 38,087$21,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,859.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 34,704$22,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,215.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 30,000$13,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,299.92 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 18,241$8,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,987.13 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 16,785$13,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.98 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 16,654$9,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,612.66 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 15,904$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.84 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 14,760$7,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.58 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 9,999$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.56 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.65 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 8,099$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 6,236$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.68 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 5,952$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.79 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 5,582$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.48 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 4,774$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.38 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 4,565$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,930$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 3,634$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.38 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 3,503$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 3,382$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.43 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,380$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.17 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 3,346$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.98 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 3,318$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,872$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.61 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 2,724$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,454$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.56 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 2,322$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.83 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,301$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.23 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…3d5abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,186$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 2,155$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 2,029$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.91 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 2,005$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.6 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,998$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,946$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.64 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 1,944$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.57 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,865$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.34 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,683$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.24 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,555$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.29 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,522$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.86 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,156$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,110$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.63 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,087$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 1,066$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 1,007$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.65 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.52 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 972.3$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.61 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 966.19$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 852.16$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.87 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 851.49$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 841$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.66 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 799.9$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 637.57$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 616.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 616.07$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.07 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 577.87$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.04 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 568.47$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.47 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 540.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.79 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 524.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 489.39$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 477.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.56 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 466.67$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.93 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 454.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 410$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 395.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 394.19$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.8 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 393.42$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 384.65$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 374.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 371.75$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 356.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 356.03$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 341$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 340.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 339.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 328.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 326.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 325.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 323.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 314.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 313$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.