TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92b5…fec6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,721.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$3,186.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$9,047.74
1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$6,571.23
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$4,246.8
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,259.26
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,175.58
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,855Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,135.96
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,864.68
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$4,000
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,882Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$4,112.51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$6,090.91
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$4,344.83
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,259.26
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$2,352.94
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$9,263.43
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$1,857.1
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,882.35
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,615.38
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,866.67
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$5,913.23
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$7,971.43
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+301.9%+$4,528.63
Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbertbacked Justin Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$5,036.59
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.16
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$3,696.78
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marton Fucsovics vs Dino Prizmicbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lysbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$5,363.64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+82%+$3,487.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Santos: Santiago De La Fuente vs Franco Roncadellibacked Santiago De La Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martina Trevisan vs Talia Gibsonbacked Martina Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguetbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$4,681.39
Brazzaville: Elijah Sanogo vs Ivan Marrerobacked Elijah Sanogo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.89
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Pierluigi Basile · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$5,188.91
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensikbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,226.49
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+53%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385.1
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,599
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,211.89
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$11,228.49
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+217.4%+$3,261.31
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$4,454.55
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$11,388.89
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+526.7%+$1,088.58
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,642.86
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+224.7%+$4,493.29
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,750
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$6,949.24
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,882.35
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,250
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+204.3%+$3,065.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,894Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,059.89
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,630
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,150
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,823.53
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,838.98
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$6,500
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$6,036.73
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,000
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+325.8%+$1,629.02
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,724.49
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,999.15
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+141%+$14,101.31
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,878.05
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,213.73
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,717.54
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$12,101.98
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,505Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$1,628.55
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,833
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.