NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0cc3453128c2864b0ec056805f193d3be8c5cd907c6c992dbb5ceaa52933205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Wild, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,079,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,079,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,079,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Wild | 35c | 146,594$51,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,308.06 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Wild | 36c | 128,692$46,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,328.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 66c | 106,935$70,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,165.07 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche | 65c | 100,431$64,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,494.87 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche | 63c | 87,529$55,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,010.54 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Wild | 37c | 80,000$29,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,309.95 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Avalanche | 64c | 46,269$29,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,752.07 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Avalanche | 65c | 32,340$21,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,318.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Wild | 34c | 28,474$9,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,582.95 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 79c | 26,742$20,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.83 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 65c | 24,016$15,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.16 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Wild | 22c | 17,963$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Avalanche | 65c | 16,132$10,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.38 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Avalanche | 64c | 15,640$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Avalanche | 64c | 15,511$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.04 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Wild | 22c | 15,373$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wild | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 27c | 14,400$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.29 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Wild | 25c | 13,733$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.36 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 32c | 11,209$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.79 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…05efbacked Wild | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 64c | 9,654$6,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.6 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Wild | 23c | 7,722$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Wild | 5c | 7,662$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 23c | 7,593$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.33 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche | 63c | 7,000$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.94 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Wild | 13c | 6,826$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wild | 0c | 6,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Avalanche | 65c | 6,416$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.59 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wild | 20c | 6,365$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.71 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Wild | 40c | 5,912$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wild | 35c | 5,555$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.24 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Avalanche | 64c | 5,451$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.36 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Avalanche | 65c | 5,128$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.69 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wild | 34c | 5,000$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Wild | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wild | 35c | 4,988$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.7 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wild | 23c | 4,899$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.71 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Wild | 17c | 4,837$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Avalanche | 64c | 4,797$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.74 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Wild | 38c | 4,522$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.99 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Wild | 27c | 4,352$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.45 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Avalanche | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Wild | 36c | 3,768$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.43 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,520$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.37 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Avalanche | 61c | 3,497$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.13 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Avalanche | 73c | 3,432$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.91 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Avalanche | 72c | 3,400$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Avalanche | 64c | 3,127$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Avalanche | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 36c | 3,094$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.67 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Wild | 13c | 3,049$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 34c | 3,033$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.69 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Avalanche | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Wild | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed Avalanche | 65c | 2,991$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Wild | 36c | 2,965$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.52 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Wild | 18c | 2,845$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Wild | 33c | 2,747$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.95 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Wild | 38c | 2,618$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Wild | 6c | 2,597$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Wild | 16c | 2,527$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Wild | 35c | 2,506$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.16 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Wild | 31c | 2,409$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.02 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Wild | 10c | 2,400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Wild | 41c | 2,361$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Wild | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Avalanche | 64c | 2,220$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Wild | 36c | 2,192$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche | 78c | 2,186$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.59 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Wild | 27c | 2,140$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.14 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Wild | 25c | 2,048$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.19 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 9c | 1,974$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…13edbacked Wild | 5c | 1,939$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,804$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Wild | 11c | 1,801$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e619backed Wild | 11c | 1,766$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Wild | 59c | 1,754$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.57 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,666$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.86 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Wild | 6c | 1,583$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 18c | 1,555$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.32 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…7784backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,546$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.37 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Avalanche | 65c | 1,540$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Avalanche | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Wild | 40c | 1,506$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Wild | 34c | 1,503$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.29 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,499$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Wild | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Wild | 35c | 1,329$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Wild | 36c | 1,328$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.07 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Wild | 8c | 1,321$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Avalanche | 79c | 1,301$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.11 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Avalanche | 79c | 1,279$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…afabbacked Avalanche | 55c | 1,279$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Avalanche | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanchethis page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.